It appears that James Delingpole seeks to edit out the facts that don’t fit with his perrrculiarly sensationalist narrative.
I thought to engage in a little frank discussion, contributing the benefit of my wisdom at this post :-
But I was thwarted.
What happened ?
Why do people deny the facts coming from Scientists on Global Warming ?
“Well-financed conservative think-tanks”
“Unduly weighted outlier views”
“Scientific illiteracy”
“Our message hasn’t gotten through to the American people”
“Organised and systematic campaign”
https://scienceblogs.com/deltoid/2010/04/science_show_on_climate_change.php
https://mpegmedia.abc.net.au/rn/podcast/2010/04/ssw_20100403_1205.mp3
Mentioned by Naomi Oreskes in the audio presentation :-
The account of extreme weather continues to mount up, but some Climate models have not been distinguishing between rainfall (precipitation event) changes in tropical regions and mid-latitude regions.
Here’s one piece of research that goes some way towards a new understanding of increased serious flooding in Tropical countries :-
https://www.pnas.org/content/107/2/571.abstract?sid=b9c6c8bb-ee22-4729-a154-5ab4423127cf
“Precipitation extreme changes exceeding moisture content increases in MIROC and IPCC climate models : Masahiro Sugiyamaa, Hideo Shiogama, and Seita Emori”
Flash flooding is not only rising in the Tropics, it’s happening more frequently, elsewhere too :-
A very intriguing study from Lorraine Lisiecki, published as a Letter in Nature Geoscience, researching the Milankovitch-sourced theories, and hinting that messing with the natural Climate cycle could have very serious consequences, shaking up five million years of progress, through feedbacks, towards relative Climate calm :-
Outline and Abstract :-
https://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo828.html
“Links between eccentricity forcing and the 100,000-year glacial cycle : Lorraine E. Lisiecki”
Supplementary Information :-
https://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/extref/ngeo828-s1.pdf
And yes, it’s quite hard to understand her work at first reading, so she’s taken the trouble to produce helpful educational material, to help with communications :-
https://www.lorraine-lisiecki.com/
https://www.lorraine-lisiecki.com/simple.html
Journalists don’t need to read the research workings – the details of the research are given for peers in the field to be able to assess her work.
Journalists do need to read around the subject, however, to be able to comment on what her work means for Climate Change Science.
Count it all joy, my brothers and sisters (and those who are hermaphrodite, or in other ways gender-alternative) when you face trials and tribulations of many kinds, from those who have not recognised in you the Light, the Truth and the Way.
James Delingpole is doing his very best-worst to be annoying, or even insulting, I’m not sure, by levelling some personally negative comments towards me. But I have responded in friendliness and lovingkindness, although I might get moderated off the comments page, so I’ve included my words here :-
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HQEEfsOrAEQ
[ Nota Bene : The following was written for all those tragically lost to natural disasters aggravated by Climate Change since last Easter. May you rest in peace. We owe it to your memory to take courage, tell the truth and continue to strive to prevent further, increasing calamity from wild weather, failed rains and poor harvests. ]
Dying is hard work.
The arched back, the retching, the scrambling,
screaming in agony,
the gasp,
the panic
to keep body and soul together.
From first breath, first sore gum,
through grazed knees, peer humiliation,
learnings and forgettings,
broken bones and broken hearts.
The work of living,
pain, just a signpost on the road to flourishing.
The force for better things.
On the night of 15th May 2010 in London, England, an all-night, all-party, all-age, all-opinion vigil will be held to uphold the Climate of the Earth in the newly elected British Parliament.
A candlelight service of thankfulness, commitment and prayer will be held at the ancient church of St Martin’s in the Fields, just off Trafalgar Square, and then events will be held by torchlight throughout the night, in and around Parliament Square :-
https://www.campaigncc.org/overnightvigil
The organisers of the event are asking for chamber and orchestral musicians to participate in the church service, and in some of the overnight moments, which will feature a range of artistic performances, culminating in a Vigil Breakfast in the early hours.
There will be no money, but there will be plenty of love and respect, and perhaps even a little fame, for all musicians who take part.
Cap and Trade is….going….down. And that’s probably a good thing :-
Phil Jones – untarnished, innocent, heroic. Clean as a recently, cleanly, cleaned clean whistle.
The Media are beside themselves. No longer do they have a public victim to hold up, for us to mourn. No longer can they build the case for Phil Jones as scapegoat. No longer than they dangle Phil Jones out over the evil toothy fishes from the end of the sweating, shaking, rickety gang plank.
https://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/environment/article7081921.ece
https://www.skepticalscience.com/Greenland-ice-mass-loss-spread-to-northwest.html
https://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2010/2010GL042460.shtml
https://news.discovery.com/earth/more-greenland-ice-melting-faster.html
https://www.skepticalscience.com/What-CO2-level-would-cause-Greenland-ice-sheet-collapse.html
https://www.the-cryosphere-discuss.net/4/233/2010/tcd-4-233-2010.html
“…Collapse of the ice-sheet was found to occur between 400 and 560 ppmv…”
Great news ! The militaries can now fly their planes on plants !
So as the rest of the economy crumbles under Carbon Tax or Carbon Credit Auctions or Carbon Marketeering, at least “our boys” can continue to fly over poor, underfed rabbles and “bomb them back to the Stone Age”, and thereby kill and maim them, on the cheap.
Today, I’m going to talk to you about education, and no, it’s not about the ongoing “Texas textbook massacre”, where they want to teach children about “alternatives” to the Theory of Global Warming :-
https://www.nytimes.com/2010/03/04/science/earth/04climate.html
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/texas-schoolbook-massacre-rewrites-american-history-1929320.html
https://blog.newsweek.com/blogs/thegaggle/archive/2010/03/26/why-you-shouldn-t-worry-about-texas-textbook-changes.aspx
My Earth Hour day.
10:00 – Do some research about the failings of the international strategy for Carbon Trading. Make a few telephone calls. Type a few electronic mails.
13:00 – Cook a fantastic vegan korma curry for lunch.
17:30 – Turn off the freezer, the refrigerator, the telephones and the computer kit in preparation for Earth Hour. The natural gas central heating has only been on for a couple of hours this week. Its default position is off. There is no longer a television here. The place is strangely, yet comfortingly, silent and still.
The Climate Unscience Rapid Response Unit would like to ask anybody out there with a few spare minutes and a reliable contact with the Daily Telegraph to have a little chat with them about this, their latest “Horrible Headline”, headlighted on their Science page thusly :-
“Will it really be a ‘barbecue summer’? : Forecasts for a barbecue summer are as uncertain as predictions of climate change, argues Roger Highfield : 23 Mar 2010”
They appear to have already bowed to some sort of internal or external pressure to change it from its original form, which appears to have had its datestamp set back to the year 2000, for some unknown reason :-
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/science/7499524/You-cant-predict-the-weather-or-climate-change.html
“You can’t predict the weather; or climate change : Our weather forecasts will always be as unreliable as our predictions of climate change. : By Roger Highfield : Published: 7:00AM GMT 23 Mar 2000”
The Climate Unscience Rapid Response Unit (CURRU) has scored another major victory this week in the ongoing struggle for accurate journalism, with the submission made to the British Press Complaints Commission by a working Climate Change Scientist, Simon Lewis, concerning poor treatment of rainforest Science by Jonathan Leake of The Sunday Times :-
https://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2010/mar/24/sunday-times-ipcc-amazon-rainforest
https://scienceblogs.com/deltoid/2010/03/leakegate_scientist_fights_bac.php
For this, Simon Lewis deserves a strong cup of herbal tea and several congratulatory back thumps, and a glorious badge of honour, which I shall personally craft myself from twigs, leaves and spiderwebbings.
https://www.campaigncc.org/greenjobs
https://www.campaigncc.org/overnightvigil
I’m in the Climate Union. Are you ?
Yesterday evening, I sat in an amazing discussion.
There were representatives from some of the UK’s best social movements, including environmental campaigns, faith communities and trades unions.
Part of a series of coalition talks, yesterday’s goal was to make progress on forming a united front on Climate Change. There are some politics to do.
Because, well, you know, it’s not just about Global Warming. It’s about Climate Change. And that will affect us all.
I’m in the Climate Union. Are you ?
Finally, I have to admit that I have an personal stake in the outcomes of Climate Change and Energy policy.
I have to confess to a utilitarian, yet enlightened, self-interest.
And so say all of us.
In the future, I want there to be jobs. New jobs, for young and old, for me. Productive, worthwhile employment, green jobs that don’t permanently wreck the atmosphere for future generations.
When I get sick, unabled or old, I want there to be social services. Not run on a shoestring budget owing to Carbon Taxes or Carbon Trading, but Low Carbon hospitals with well-motivated, sufficient staff; and decent, affordable sheltered housing and residential homes for the vulnerable.
I want cheap, Zero Carbon Energy; as access to Energy is an essential public good, even a human right, for those who live towards the Poles. I don’t want to be made poor by a badly managed transition out of Fossil Fuels, or expensive Carbon Capture projects that the State pays for, because Electricity generation companies want to burn dirty Coal. I don’t want to have to pay double for my power, just because new Nuclear Power stations cost so much to build.
Joe Romm from Climate Progress has been awarded the first service award of the week from CURRU, the Climate Unscience Rapid Response Unit, for his sterling, hard-working, thorough piece on the meltdown in the Arctic :-
https://climateprogress.org/2010/03/22/thin-ice-arctic-winds-sea-ice-extent-global-warming/
“Misreported study: “It is clear … that the precipitous decline in September sea ice extent in recent years is mainly due to the cumulative loss of multiyear ice.” Physicist: “If temperatures change just a few tenths of a degree then this oh-so-thin ice cap is doomed.””
Tiresome ?
You know the feeling. As a scientist or lay person with some inside knowledge on Climate Change, you’re reading your favourite daily newspaper or checking the news online, when an article with outright falsehoods in it really leaps out at you, grabs you by the throat and makes you very, very annoyed and FTB.
Being Full To Bursting, you make a mental note to write a letter to the Media organisation, or phone somebody and be very stern with them, but during the course of the day you are forced to engage with your normal duties and you reach nightfall tired and unable to pen the letter or lift the phone to make a complaint.
It’s really wearing.
This man :-
said this :-
https://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/abstract/307/5716/176666
“The Climate Change Commitment : Even if atmospheric composition were fixed today, global-mean temperature and sea level rise would continue due to oceanic thermal inertia. These constant-composition (CC) commitments and their uncertainties are quantified. Constant-emissions (CE) commitments are also considered. The CC warming commitment could exceed 1°C. The CE warming commitment is 2° to 6°C by the year 2400.”
This man :-
said this :-
https://www.digitaljournal.com/article/289310
“”Even if all man-made greenhouse gas emissions were stopped tomorrow and carbon-dioxide levels stabilized at today’s concentration, by the end of this century, the global average temperature would increase by about 4.3 degrees Fahrenheit, or about 2.4 degrees centigrade above pre-industrial levels, which is significantly above the level which scientists and policy makers agree is a threshold for dangerous climate change.””
You can read it all here :-
https://www.tos.org/oceanography/issues/issue_archive/issue_pdfs/23_1/23-1_greene.pdf
It’s a very inconvenient truth indeed. What will Uncle Tom Wigley’s conservative cabal make of that ?
Clue for the Climate Change “sceptics” (“skeptics”) who pass by here : The Reverend Billy is not an ordained minister, and his organisation is not part of a religious sect. Billy Talen is a “performance artist”.
Hot Start
by Jo Abbess
04 February 2010
An assessment of the technology and policy for de-Carbonising the Energy systems of developed societies
1. The Aligned and Related Risks from Climate Change and Peak Fossil Fuels
1a. Key Conclusions
The Low Carbon Transition in Energy in developed countries is inevitable (Climate Change Act, 2008; EU Package, 2008; UNFCCC Kyoto Protocol, 1997); yet policy thinking and decision-making seems to still focus on the debateable “how to do it” rather than the more essential “how long do we have ?” If the window of opportunity for industrialised society to de-Carbonise proves to foreshorten rapidly, then the next few decades could be a story of economic collapse, unless there is concentrated, concerted endeavour (Sustainable Business, 2010).
Together with a couple of my peers, I’ve been taking a look at BP’s “sustainability”, both from a business point of view and from a Climate Change point of view.
We’ve just given a presentation, of which I offer you a couple of the slides and the script to accompany them.
The central point of issue is : what will BP do after the Gas and Oil are gone ? There may be decades of reasonable hydrocarbons left to exploit, but how will Pension Funds get their return on investment after that ? Where is the future thinking ?
And what about Climate Change ? Retreating from Alternative Energy back into its core business of Oil and Gas means that BP plc will not be able to make substantial cuts in the Greenhouse Gas Emissions of the products that they sell – which means that sooner or later, when Carbon Energy is rationed, their business will start to implode.
The Climate Change “sceptics” are calling it “Amazongate”. I’d rather like to rename it “Investigate”, because of the appalling lack of investigative journalism that surrounds latest news of the Science of the Amazon basin.
Why is it that so many mainstream newspapers repeat the same lazy accusation that somebody has uncovered “yet another error” in the IPCC report ? This looks like a flawed attempt to create a narrative of scandal, where there is actually nothing to find.
Many expert commentators have tried to explain that, yes, the IPCC had a couple of problems, where they have used information that was not peer-reviewed Science, and findings that other experts disagree with. But no, the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report still stands, and is still the best statement that Sciencekind can give on the subject of Climate Change.
There is no evidence of the kind of wrongdoing in the work of the IPCC that the Climate Change “sceptics” claim. So why do the journalists carry on with the narrative of doubt ? Could it have something to do with the fact that they don’t check the facts ?
And why do most of the mainsteam news organisations take the same line, with the same sloppy thinking and poor arguments replicated in article after article ? Could it be that there is no investigative journalism left these days ?
Why does it have to fall to the independent web loggers to point out the facts ? Why can’t the newspapers at least hire Environment writers who have studied Climate Change Science ?
[ UPDATE 15 MARCH 2010 FROM JOABBESS.COM ]
There’s this crazy effect in sub-atomic Physics, where bits and bobs (to give them their proper names) get “quantum entangled” under certain scenarios, and can affect each other at a distance, immediately, without any apparent need of communication.
This effect seems to happen in the Media, too. Perhaps journalists talk to each other. They certainly all read the same Press Releases and draw research from each others’ articles.
This must explain why the Daily Telegraph repeats all the errors of other articles this week about the Amazon and Climate Change :-
AND THE DAILY EXPRESS, OF COURSE :-
https://www.express.co.uk/posts/view/162987/Climate-fanatics-are-totally-wrong-about-rainforest-
“CLIMATE FANATICS ARE ‘TOTALLY WRONG’ ABOUT RAINFOREST : Climate fanatics are ‘totally wrong’ about rainforest : Monday March 15,2010”
Read my corruscating, scintillating, penetrating analysis of the “greeniness” of the Amazon, here :-
https://www.joabbess.com/2010/03/12/amazongate-redux-jonathan-leake-still-misguided/