Posted on November 26th, 2010 No comments
Image Credit : Hobos 4 Life
Oo, it’s so hard knowing which version of reality to plump for, if you have to judge by the headlines alone.
These articles were published on the same day, based on the same report from the Meteorological Office, in different high quality newspapers :-
“World is warming quicker than thought in past decade, says Met Office : Report comes as scientists predict 2010 could be hottest year on record : Damian Carrington, The Guardian, Friday 26 November 2010 : The world warmed more rapidly than previously thought over the past decade, according to a Met Office report published today, which finds the evidence for man-made climate change has grown even stronger over the last year…”
“Global warming has slowed because of pollution : Global warming has slowed in the last decade, according to the Met Office, as the world pumps out so much pollution it is reflecting the sun’s rays and causing a cooling effect. By Louise Gray, Environment Correspondent, 26 Nov 2010 : The latest figures from more than 20 scientific institutions around the world show that global temperatures are higher than ever. However the gradual rise in temperatures over the last 30 years is slowing slightly. Global warming since the 1970s has been 0.16C (0.3F) but the rise in the last decade was just 0.05C (0.09F), according to the Met Office. Sceptics claim this as evidence man made global warming is a myth…”
I think I’ll go with Damian Carrington’s version, because at least he mentions more than one possible reason for why Global Warming hasn’t been accelerating as much in the last decade as the ones immediately prior.
Despite the slow down in acceleration, the temperatures are still rising, so there’s no need to use the word “cooling” in Louise Gray’s sub-heading.
And there’s no reason at all for Louise to mention the anti-science so-called “sceptics”, who are actually deniers. They would deny the Moon was made of rock, if they could manipulate the tiniest piece of evidence, or twist the most innocent of words, to make it appear that there were uncertainties about the exact composition of the samples taken from Earth’s satellite by the NASA astronauts.
There is still an outside probability that the Moon could be made of cheese, folks, according to the type of argument put forward by the sceptic-deniers.
But as we all know, that’s impossible, because the Moon landings were faked, and in fact, the Moon is only painted onto the sky dome, as it isn’t actually there any more as it was removed during an undocumented altercation between nuclear states some time in the 1990s.Bait & Switch, Climate Change, Delay and Deny, Divide & Rule, Fair Balance, Global Warming, Hide the Incline, Media, Science Rules, Social Chaos, The Data Damian Carrington, denial, denier, doubt and uncertainties, Louise Gray, obfuscator, obstructor, sceptic, skeptic, The Daily Telegraph, The Guardian, twist and slide
Posted on November 23rd, 2010 2 comments
Well, it would seem the wheels have definitely come off the Climate Change sceptic-denier trolley bus, and the passengers are raving, and metaphorically drowning in their own pus-riddled intellectual bile, judging by the spluttered, splattered comments I am receiving on this web log.
Wegman is going down (the anti-science, anti-Hockey Stick Wegman Report, you understand, not the man himself) – and I mean down; down to the depths of dissmissal and reproach, and scorn mountains will be heaped, and his “strange scholarship” will be ribbed and ridiculed and his assertions and claims fobbed off for ever more, it seems, by those whose opinions really count :-
“Turns out climate skeptics’ favorite report (the Wegman Report) might not be as scientific as Congressman Joe Barton claims…”
We’re talking pit-wise plumbing here, the nether reaches of the pile of tried-and-rejected hypotheses. We’re talking dearie-dearie-me, what a mess have we got here, then ? :-
Michael Mann was right. You, dear sceptic-deniers, are wrong. Even the Daily Mail newspaper says so, and don’t retort that, of course, the Daily Maelstrom is not exactly the Source of All Validity, and testily question why I trust the Daily Maul when it agrees with me, and not otherwise :-
“Influential climate change report ‘was copied from Wikipedia’ : By DAILY MAIL REPORTER : 23rd November 2010 : Research questioning the validity of global warming was copied from Wikipedia and textbooks, it has been claimed. A report by statistician Edward Wegman criticised earlier research led by scientist Michael Mann that said global temperatures were highest in the last century than the previous 1,000 years. But according to plagiarism experts, ‘significant’ sections of the 91-page report were lifted from ‘textbooks, Wikipedia and the writings of one of the scientists criticised in the report’…”
You can take or leave your truth universe, and the Daily Mall certainly does that, but I’ll stick with the data, thanks, the hard-won, carefully-kept, un-fudged, un-compromised actual measurements… Read the rest of this entry »Bad Science, Climate Change, Climate Chaos, Global Singeing, Global Warming, Green Investment, Green Power, Hide the Incline, Media, No Pressure, Non-Science, Political Nightmare, Regulatory Ultimatum, Renewable Resource, Science Rules, The Data, Unqualified Opinion Daily Mail, Deep Climate, deep trouble, denial, denier, Hockey Stick, Michael Mann, obfuscators, sceptic, skeptic, Wegman Report
Posted on September 18th, 2010 No comments
Totally new data set – totally new temperature proxy – totally the same Hockey Stick.
Michael Mann, Phil Jones and all the experts are more than vindicated.
Steve McIntyre, Marc Morano, and your “tribes”, will you stand aside, please ?
You’re just getting in the way of the true course of discovery.Climate Change, Global Warming, Science Rules, The Data Andrew Montford, Anthony Watts, Benny Peiser, Bishop Hill, Bjorn Lomborg, Bob Carter, Christopher Booker, Christopher Monckton, contrarian, delayer, denial, denier, Dennis Avery, Fred Singer, Hockey Stick, Ian Plimer, James Delingpole, Judith Curry, Lawrence Solomon, Marc Morano, Michael Mann, Myron Ebell, Nigel Lawson, obtructer, Pat Michaels, Phil Jones, Richard Lindzen, Roger Pielke Jr, Roger Pielke Sr, Roy Spencer, sceptic, skeptic, Steve McIntyre, Steve Milloy, Steven Goddard, Tim Ball, Tom Fuller
Posted on September 15th, 2010 No comments
And so it is we learn from the Daily Express, that most learned journal, that the ethos, the very foundation, of Climate Change science is in question :-
“CLIMATE CHANGE: FAILURES OF GLOBAL WARMING PROBES ‘LET DOWN PUBLIC’ : Wednesday September 15, 2010 : By John Ingham, Environment Editor : PUBLIC inquiries into the Climategate scandal have failed to restore confidence in the science behind global warming, a report claimed yesterday. It branded as flawed the three inquiries into the leaking of e-mails by scientists at East Anglia university’s world-leading Climate Research Unit. And it called for independent inquiries into the ethos of climate research and the science itself…”
We’re post-modern 21st Century humans. It’s OK to question everything. There’s every likelihood that we control our own destinies by our thoughts; that tobacco doesn’t cause lung and pancreatic cancer; that sexual intercourse between a male and a female is not the cause of human reproduction; that Jesus was Catholic, and not Jewish; that so-called waterborne diseases aren’t caused by microscopic organisms; that infection by the HIV virus doesn’t lead to AIDS; that Barack Hussein Obama is a non-American Muslim; that the CIA planned 9/11 (no, really, they did !); that mobile phone masts are killing bees (well, it can’t be the pesticides, can it ?); the moon landings were staged; that wind power will never amount to much, and that chocolate doesn’t give you spots.
If you want to believe that DDT controls malaria, then go right ahead. We live in a tolerant society, and your knowledge is just as good as mine, really :-
And of course, it’s entirely reasonable to assert that the Earth is the centre of the Universe, for medieval clerics so believed :-
The theory of evolution, of course, is a hoax :-
“…The author, who has offered 10,000 euros to anyone who can scientifically prove evolution exists…”
(as found on http://johnquiggin.com/).Bad Science, Bait & Switch, Climate Change, Global Warming, Media, Non-Science, Science Rules, The Data Andrew Montford, anti-Science, anti-sense, Benny Peiser, Bishop Hill, Christopher Monckton, contrarian, Daily Express, David Roberts, delayer, denial, denier, geocentrism, Global Warming Policy Foundation, God, GWPF, John Ingham, John Quiggin, Nigel Lawson, obstructer, Quiggin, Rush Limbaugh, sceptic, septic, skeptic, The Global Warming Policy Foundation, The GWPF
Posted on September 15th, 2010 No comments
Dr Judith Curry will probably be wasting a lot of her valuable time in future, as she has started her own “balanced” web log :-
Several commentors appear quite relieved that she has decided to stop (pa)trolling their websites and has gone off to draw all the sceptic hormonally-charged untrained non-scientists beta males to hers.
Phew ! Now perhaps we can get on with the Science and the Data in peace !
It’s a thankless task, engaging in dialogue with the voracious, capacious sceptics. Hopefully she gets paid for her trouble.
Excruciatingly, she’s in store for recurring complaints from Climate Change Scientists.
Posted on September 15th, 2010 1 comment
The not-widely-awaited “investigation” into the official inquiries into “Climategate” from the Nigel Lawson “social experiment”, the “Global Warming Policy Foundation”, looks to me rather like a botched piece of cosmetic surgery on first scan.
I’d recommend avoiding it, as it seems to me like a total waste of valuable time, based, as I believe it is, on an obvious absence of leg-shaped support.
I wouldn’t have bothered spending five vacant minutes commenting on it unless I knew my various sceptic readers were standing by, eagerly salivating over tearing me to shreds about any statements I might make.
Lunch, boys ?
If you are a proper Climate Change researcher, unless you’ve got the time and funds and staffing to launch an investigation into how the Climategate Media circus was ever allowed to happen, I’d suggest you avoid entering into any kind of discussion about this latest seemingly vapid wraith of veneer.
I am sure you will detect what looks like irascible sniping from Andrew Montford (as known as “Bishop Hll”) in various newspaper reports that follow on from this outpouring of apparently obsessive introspection into a non-scandal that’s deader than a century-old donkey’s fetid tail.
But nothing will trounce the ultimate truth – Climategate will never breathe another modecule of serious Media oxygen, even if it lives on in rabid obscurity in Internet zombie-blog-land.Bad Science, Bait & Switch, Climate Change, Global Warming, Media, Non-Science, Protest & Survive, Public Relations, Social Change Andrew Montford, Benny Peiser, Bishop Hill, Christopher Booker, Climate-gate, Climategate, delayer, denial, denier, Global Warming Policy Foundation, GWPF, James Delingpole, media circus, Nigel Lawson, non-scandal, obstructer, sceptic, septic, skeptic, The Daily Telegraph, The Global Warming Policy Foundation, The GWPF, The Spectator, timewasters, wasting time
Posted on September 5th, 2010 3 comments
Yes, I’m inviting you to complain to the United Kingdom Press Complaints Commission regarding what appears to be a failure of accurate journalism in the Daily Express.
The question is, for you, have they “gone too far this time” ?
Here’s some e-mail traffic :-
from: Bob Ward
sent: 31 August 2010
subject: Express Denial
If you want to have a good chortle, have a look at this ‘Debate’ just launched on the website of the ‘The Daily Express’:
Apart from its one-sided title (‘Debate: Is ‘global warming’ just a con?’), I particularly enjoyed the illiterate reference to “LOSS OF CREDIBITY”. Well, after all, ‘The Daily Express’ should know about loss of credibility!
Policy and Communications Director
Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment
London School of Economics and Political Science
London WC2A 2AE
from: James Pavitt
date: 31 August 2010
Have you seen the headline and front page??? This is the worst case of climate misrepresentation I’ve ever seen. I have made a complaint to the Press Complaints Committee, and urge others to do so too.Bad Science, Climate Change, Global Warming, Media, Non-Science, Protest & Survive, Public Relations, Science Rules, Unqualified Opinion Bob Ward, Climate Depot, ClimateDepot, Daily Express, delayer, denial, Denial Depot, DenialDepot, denier, Glaciergate, IAC, InterAcademy Council, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, IPCC, London School of Economics, LSE, Marc Morano, obstructer, PCC, Press Complaints Commission, Rajendra Pachauri, sceptic, skeptic
Posted on September 4th, 2010 No comments
[ TED Talks : Flashback to 2005 ! Of course, one of the main problems with his “triage” suggestion is that Climate Change affects all the other problems in his prioritisation list, so even if they get solved once, they’ll need solving again… ]
Reports of Bjorn Lomborg’s conversion to the truth about Global Warming may be perilously exaggerated :-
“ I note with interest that Bjørn Lomborg has changed his mind on global warming. I also note that he has a book to sell.”
Beside a book, he is also touting a film :-
Has he really changed his tune ? Nope. :-
“…In an exclusive interview with FP’s Elizabeth Dickinson, Lomborg says his views haven’t budged an inch. Rather, he argues that the cap-and-trade approach of Kyoto Protocol fame has clearly failed, and it’s time to try a more creative approach — one that doesn’t involve wasting billions of dollars. “At some point,” he says, “we have to ask ourselves, do we just want to keep up the circus of promising stuff but not actually doing it?”…”
“Lomborg is not a responsible climate commentator.”Advancing Africa, Bait & Switch, Climate Change, Financiers of the Apocalypse, Global Warming, Social Change Bjoern Lomborg, Bjorn Lomborg, Cool It, delayer, denial, denier, Lomborg, obstructer, sceptic, Sceptical Environmentalist, skeptic, Skeptical Environmentalist, Smart Solutions to Climate Change
Posted on August 25th, 2010 No comments
I always know something’s afoot (ametre ?) in Climate Change Denial Fantasy Land when Rupert Wyndham (as known as “wind em up Rupert”) writes one of his scornful, crumb-full little e-mails and sends it on to me, even if it’s only in “Carbon” copy :-
re: Odysseus felled by climate change. Royal Society report
from: Rupert Wyndham, rupertwyndham AT gmail DOT com
to: Brice “Boz” Osnich, bosnich AT rsc DOT anu DOT edu DOT au
“Brice : Your reference to The Royal Society triggers this. There’s an intriguing clip in the Today programme, the BBC’s flagship radio news roundup. One Roger Harrabin, a pusillanimous toad masquerading as the BBC’s “Environmental Analyst”, who alters reports under 3rd party pressure – even from the terminally pathetic such as religious propagandists, is to run a climate change series, in which is asked the question: “Has the pudding been over egged?” or words to the like effect. I’m not sure that I shall be able to summon the mental resources actually to listen to this garbage (after all, it never changes), but it’s interesting that the BBC should even be asking the question. What seems clear is that they must have been driven to it. Has the RS yet reported? Is there any chance that something might have been leaked? Interesting times! In the meantime, in the same news roundup is the story of a WW1 Italian soldier discovered in the Dolomites, a find attributed to glacier retreat – well, naturally!”
Oh dear. I do hope Roger Harrabin doesn’t feel peeved by Rupert’s description of him. Seems ungentlemanly to me.
Posted on August 25th, 2010 1 comment
If you, or anyone dear to you, is a closet Climate Change sceptic, then you quite possibly have David Koch, of Koch Industries, and his allegedly personally paid-for propaganda machine to thank.
Climate Change denial was invented in the United States of America, but has since been imported into the United Kingdom and Australia, tripping up intellects and intelligences everywhere it shows up.
It makes a person look really uneducated when they recite the mantras of Climate Change scepticism and denial. Trouble is, it’s so pervasive and seemingly anodyne when you first encounter it, that many people just fall for it hook, line and sinker.
What’s so wrong about saying “The climate has always changed” for example ? Yes, of course it has, but not like it’s changing now.
“COVERT OPERATIONS : The billionaire brothers who are waging a war against Obama. : by Jane Mayer : AUGUST 30, 2010 : On May 17th, a black-tie audience at the Metropolitan Opera House applauded as a tall, jovial-looking billionaire took the stage. It was the seventieth annual spring gala of American Ballet Theatre, and David H. Koch was being celebrated for his generosity as a member of the board of trustees; he had recently donated $2.5 million toward the company’s upcoming season, and had given many millions before that. Koch received an award while flanked by two of the gala’s co-chairs, Blaine Trump, in a peach-colored gown, and Caroline Kennedy Schlossberg, in emerald green. Kennedy’s mother, Jacqueline Kennedy Onassis, had been a patron of the ballet and, coincidentally, the previous owner of a Fifth Avenue apartment that Koch had bought, in 1995, and then sold, eleven years later, for thirty-two million dollars, having found it too small. Read the rest of this entry »
Posted on August 24th, 2010 86 comments
I don’t expect much from it in terms of any kind of sensible, relevant reply, but here’s my two eurocents’ worth, as loaded at :-
The BBC are undergoing a review on balance in Science reporting. They need to get Climate Change right, and that could start by one of their programme editors actually trying to understand what programmes like this do to an unprepared or semi-prepared audience.
The Newsnight audience have been left with the view that “maybe Climate Change is not so bad after all”, which is the worst take-home message they could be given.
See further down the post for e-mail traffic related to the Newsnight broadcast of 23rd August 2010.Bad Science, Climate Change, Delay and Deny, Divide & Rule, Extreme Weather, Fair Balance, Global Warming, Incalculable Disaster, Marvellous Wonderful, Media, Non-Science, Public Relations, Science Rules, The Data, Unqualified Opinion, Unutterably Useless Andrew Montford, anti-Science, BBC, BBC bias, BBC inaccuracy, BBC Newsnight, Bishop Hill, Bob Ward, Chris Keene, Christopher Shaw, Climate Change, contrarian, David Cromwell, delayer, denial, denier, dismissing the real problem, George Marshall, Global Warming, John Nissen, Kirsty Wark, Kirsty Warp, MediaLens, Newsmight, Newsnight, obstructer, sceptic, skeptic, Warkian
Posted on August 21st, 2010 No comments
If there’s one thing about Climate Change nobody could be able to disagree on, it’s that there’s a huge amount of literature on the subject.
I figure it would be impossible for any one person to have a good grounding in the totality of the Science, spanning, as it does, most of humankind’s discoveries about the physical world.
It would be hard too to have an exceptionally well-rooted understanding even of the Synthesis of the conclusions of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports.
A human mind is surely not capable of remembering all the facts and figures and how everything relates. My personal forgettery is quite active in selecting what to drop after not using it for a while, and I’m sure others experience the same thing.
For example, I’m sure Dr Judith Curry, accomplished as she is in Earth Sciences, does not remember the entire field, and does not have the tools to look everything up quickly. Which is why she gives shorthand vague, answers on web logs which annoy other people so much :-
I reckon, though, people should give her a break for a while to let her compose herself, and get over the shock of the Anthony Watts “tribe” eating her heart out with steak knives after she published a proper piece of Science.Climate Change, Global Warming, Science Rules, Social Change AR4, Climate Change, Climate Science, Climategate, Climatic Research Unit, CRU, delayer, denial, denier, disinformation, Dr Judith Curry, El Stoat, Fourth Assessment Report, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, IPCC, Judith Curry, Kuhn, Media, media relations, media storm, obfuscator, obstructer, paradigm, paradigm shift, Phil Jones, Post Normal Science, post-paradigmatic state, pre-paradigmatic state, pseudo-information, Public Relations, radical, Revolution, revolutionary, Robin McKie, sceptic, Science, skeptic, Steve McIntyre, Stoat, TAR, The Observer, Third Assessment Report, Thomas Kuhn, UEA, University of East Anglia, William Connolly
Posted on August 17th, 2010 No comments
I well remember the huffing and puffing over the release of James Hansen’s paper “Target Atmospheric CO2: Where Should Humanity Aim?” :-
“…Decreasing CO2 was the main cause of a cooling trend that began 50 million years ago, large scale glaciation occurring when CO2 fell to 425 +/- 75 ppm…”
The sceptic-deniers laughed and scoffed and said things to the effect that clearly there’s nothing to worry about that the current concentration of Carbon Dioxide in the air is over 390 parts per million – it won’t melt the polar ice caps.
What the sceptic-deniers haven’t understood, or pretend not to have understood, is that it is a combination of factors that caused major lasting glaciation on Earth. Yes, the level of Carbon Dioxide in the air is important. But the rate of change of Carbon Dioxide in the atmosphere is a significant component.
If the levels of Carbon Dioxide in the atmosphere change rapidly, the heating or cooling effect is amplified, in effect. You have to take account of the relative change in levels of Carbon Dioxide, not just its level at any particular point in time.Be Prepared, Big Picture, Climate Change, Disturbing Trends, Emissions Impossible, Global Warming, Hide the Incline, Meltdown, Realistic Models, Science Rules, Screaming Panic, The Data antarctica, Carbon Dioxide, Carbon Dioxide Emissions, Carbon Dioxide levels, Climate Change, contrarians, delay, denial, denier, deny, Dr Judith Curry, Global Cooking, Global Heating, Global Overheating, Global Warming, ice caps, Judith Curry, Melt, Meltdown, Melting, obstructers, polar ice, polar ice caps, sceptic, Sea Level Rise, skeptic
Posted on August 17th, 2010 No comments
The sky is unnaturally warm, so the satellites are telling us.
So what do the Climate Change deniers do ? Claim all the satellites are defunct :-
“Nation’s battered satellite environmental monitoring program : Top Climate Scientists Speak out on the Satellitegate Scandal : By John O’Sullivan Monday, August 16, 2010 : US Government admits global warming satellite sensors “degraded” – temperatures may be out by 10-15 degrees. Now five satellites in controversy. Top scientists speak out. In an escalating row dubbed ‘Satellitegate’ further evidence proves NOAA knew of these faults for years. World’s top climate scientists and even prior governmental reports cite underfunding and misallocation as the trigger for spiraling satellite data calamities. Key flaws with five satellites undermines global data. Most disturbing of all is that it took publication of my article last week to persuade the authorities to withdraw the errant NOAA-16 satellite from service. But as Dr. John Christy indicates, the real Satellitegate is not about one satellite. The scandal is endemic with comparable flaws across the entire network; the scandal is also that it took a tip off from a member of the public and the widespread broadcast of my article before one of the offending junk boxes, NOAA-16, got taken down…”
Anyone who’s doubting that we’re back to the bad old days of outright denial should pay attention. Next thing you know, the Climate Change contrarians will be claiming that the whole of Science is dubious…what ? They did that already (for the last 25 years) ?
Posted on August 15th, 2010 No comments
Statistical analysis of the raw data on Global Warming suffers from two major pitfalls :-
1. You are looking at the combined effects from several causative sources. Unless you have the means to distinguish the various factors, you cannot apply statistical techniques to the data and expect to get anything truly meaningful out. All that can be said, at best, is, “The Globe. Still Warming.”, as the warming trend over a long enough period of time has managed to stand out over the short-term variations.
2. Looking at the data purely by eye, some of the warming or cooling effects are clearly short-term, others longer-term; so picking a range of years/months/seasons at random, or according to some bias, is likely to distort the analysis. This is known as “cherry-picking”. The results of cherry-picking include the fallacious and discredited claim that, “Global Warming stopped in 1998”, or the much more crafty and misleading, “There has been no statistically significant Global Warming since 1998”.
Some researchers are content just to point to the overall effect of the raw data – global temperatures on land and at sea are rising sharply and the charts should be sufficient to understand the basic problem.
However, some people still contest that Global Warming is taking place, or that if it is, it isn’t serious. This then, is the cue to do an in-depth analysis into the known factors in global temperatures, and to attempt to “deduct” obvious short-term warming and cooling features in order to eyeball the underlying trends :-Bad Science, Bait & Switch, Be Prepared, Big Picture, Climate Change, Delay and Deny, Disturbing Trends, Divide & Rule, Extreme Weather, Fair Balance, Freak Science, Global Singeing, Global Warming, Hide the Incline, Incalculable Disaster, Non-Science, Public Relations, Realistic Models, Science Rules, The Data, Unqualified Opinion abrupt Climate Change, Anthropogenic Climate Change, Anthropogenic Global Warming, blip, cherrypicking, Climate Change, Climate Change Science, Climate Science, Climatic Research Unit, contrarian, CRU, Dangerous Climate Change, delayer, denial, denier, dips, Global Warming, independent variables, internal variability, internal variation, long-term, make me a model, mid-term, model, modelling, obstructer, Phil Jones, Ross McKitrick, sceptic, short-term, short-term swings, skeptic, slopes, spikes, Steve McIntyre, UEA, University of East Anglia
Posted on August 10th, 2010 No comments
[ YouTube Credit : The link to the video above comes thanks to the endeavours of that most fair and balanced individual James “no net global warming since 1998” Delingpole. “No net global warming since 1998” ? James ! You’re quoting Pat Michaels, but did he perhaps make that up ? Or was it something that Christopher Monckton might have made up ? ]
The BBC puts the blame on Climate Change – almost – in a report on the Russian heatwave-wildfire disaster.
But they just can’t bring themselves to admit it as an organisation – and put the claims into the mouths of others – using quotation marks in the headline (‘partly to blame’) and ascribing the opinion to “researchers”, the “UK Met Office” and “experts” :-
“10 August 2010 : Climate change ‘partly to blame’ for sweltering Moscow : By Katia Moskvitch : Science reporter, BBC News : Global climate change is partly to blame for the abnormally hot and dry weather in Moscow, cloaked in a haze of smoke from wildfires, say researchers. The UK Met Office said there are likely to be more extreme high temperatures in the future. Experts from the environmental group WWF Russia have also linked climate change and hot weather to raging wildfires around the Russian capital. Meteorologists say severe conditions may linger for several more days…”
Well, I’ve got a bit of a question to pose – it might not be possible to ascribe the current weather conditions in Russia (and Pakistan and China and and and…) to Climate Change, statistically. I mean no one weather event can be said to have been caused 100% by Climate Change. But would these extreme weather events have happened without Climate Change ?
That is by far the most important question to ask, and Michael Tobis does just that :-
“…Are the current events in Russia “because of” “global warming”? To put the question in slightly more formal terms, are we now looking at something that is no longer a “loading the dice” situation but is a “this would, practically certainly, not have happened without human interference” situation? Can we phrase it more formally? “Is the average time between persistent anomalies on this scale anywhere on earth in the undisturbed holocene climate much greater than a human lifetime?” In other words, is this so weird we would NEVER expect to see it at all?…”Be Prepared, Climate Change, Disturbing Trends, Extreme Weather, Floodstorm, Global Singeing, Global Warming, Heatwave, Incalculable Disaster, Landslide, Media, Mudslide, Realistic Models, Science Rules, Smokestorm, The Data, Wildfire AGW, Anthropogenic Climate Change, Anthropogenic Global Warming, BBC, Beyond Belief Communications, British Broadcasting Corporation, CAGW, Carbon Trading, Catastrophic Anthropgenic Climate Change, Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming, Catastrophic Climate Change, Catastrophic Global Warming, China, Climate Change, Climate Chaos, corrupted science, cosmic rays, cosmological, cosmos, Dangerous Climate Change, Dangerous Global Warming, denial, denier, Electromagnetic, Electromagnetism, Electronmagnetic Radiation, flood, floods, forest fire, Global Warming, gravy train, heatwave, landslide, lunar, lunar cycle, magnetosphere, Moscow, mudslide, Pakistan, Pat Michaels, Patrick Michaels, Piers Corbyn, RT, Russia, Russia Today, sceptic, skeptic, solar, solar cycle, solar magnetism, solar wind, sub sole nihil novi est, Weather Action, Weather Inaction, WeatherAction, WeatherInaction, wildfire, windmills
Posted on August 9th, 2010 1 comment
Jaw-droppingly, the BBC have apologised for the contents of a Today Programme. Not the one that caused poor, deceased Dr David Kelly so much embarrassment, God rest his soul. No, the one that featured the breaking of the “Climategate” e-mail scandal :-
The BBC picked the wrong scandal story to run with, it appears.
The real scandal of Climategate is how the scientists’ e-mails were “liberated” from the University of East Anglia, and then annotated to give heavily biased interpretation, then released to the general public via the Internet, and how the Media were taken in.
Certain people at the BBC chose to go with the fake scandal, it seems – the narrative fabricated and dictated to them by Climate Change deniers.
Anyway, now the BBC have made an apology, of sorts. Better late than never, but all the same, it would have been better earlier rather than later.
Thankfully, despite the late apologies, this particular alleged witch-hunt didn’t end with a suspected suicide. Although it did include reports that Professor Phil Jones had, in fact, contemplated suicide; the reporting of which just added to his completely groundless public humiliation at the hands of the Press. Which they should apologise for, in my humble opinion. Just as good (old) George Monbiot had the good grace to offer some regret for :-
“BBC apologises to University of East Anglia for “incorrect” remark”
“The BBC has apologised for an “incorrect” remark made by John Humphrys that UEA researchers had “distorted the debate about global warming to make the threat seem even more serious than they believed it to be”.”Bad Science, Bait & Switch, British Sea Power, Climate Change, Corporate Pressure, Delay and Deny, Divide & Rule, Emissions Impossible, Energy Revival, Fair Balance, Freak Science, Global Warming, Growth Paradigm, Hide the Incline, Low Carbon Life, Media, Non-Science, Public Relations, Regulatory Ultimatum, Renewable Resource, Social Change, Solar Sunrise, Unqualified Opinion, Unutterably Useless, Utter Futility, Vain Hope, Wind of Fortune Al Gore, Amazon, Amazongate, anti-Science, apologies, apologises, apology, Bad Science, BBC, Ben Goldacre, Ben Santer, Christopher Booker, Climategate, Climatic Research Unit, contrarian, CRU, David Kelly, delayer, denial, denier, Doug Keenan, Erik M. Conway, Fiona Harvey, Fred Pearce, George Monbiot, Guardian Newspaper, hell freezes over, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, IPCC, James Delingpole, Jeremy Vine, John Christy, John Humphrys, Jonathan Leake, Justin Lancaster, Kevin Anderson, Lawrence Solomon, Merchants of Doubt, Naomi Oreskes, Nigel Lawson, obstructer, Panorama, Phil Jones, Richard Lindzen, Roger Revelle, S. Fred Singer, sceptic, Siegfried Fred Singer, Siegfried Frederick Singer, Simon Lewis, skeptic, Stephen Schneider, Steve McIntyre, Steve Schneider, The BBC, The Guardian Newspaper, Today, Today Programme, Tom Heap, Trevor Davies, UEA, University of East Anglia
Posted on July 31st, 2010 No comments
Seemingly without knowing anything significant about energy, or the systems used to produce it, James Delingpole makes several key blunders, in my view, in his latest rant :-
“We need to talk about wind farms…” : By James Delingpole : July 28th, 2010
I know the cure for his error-riddled beliefs ! Send some real live energy engineers to his office to talk to him about their industry.
I’m sure the thought of several serious and strangely bearded, slightly obsessive individuals coming to actually talk to him about wind power might be a cue for him to actually start doing some research.Bad Science, Climate Change, Delay and Deny, Energy Revival, Global Warming, Non-Science, Renewable Resource, Science Rules, Solar Sunrise, Unqualified Opinion, Wind of Fortune Climate Change, denial, denier, Global Warming, James Delingpole, Renewable Energy, sceptic, skeptic, Solar Energy, Solar power, Wind Energy, Wind Power
Posted on July 30th, 2010 No comments
Now, I’ve met Fiona Harvey, and she gives the general impression of being a reasonable woman, with her own mind, smart, knowledgeable and pragmatic.
What she writes about is Environment in general, but she takes in Policy, Politics, Economics and Science, and her output is normally balanced, accurate, and free from interference from propaganda and propagandists. Well-rounded, I’d say. Informative and straight.
So how come she’s writing a Financial Times article with quotations from extreme Climate Change sceptics and deniers ?
I suspect a heavy editorial hand :-
“Research says climate change undeniable : By Fiona Harvey, Environment Correspondent, Published: July 28 2010”Bad Science, Bait & Switch, Climate Change, Corporate Pressure, Cost Effective, Delay and Deny, Divide & Rule, Fair Balance, Freak Science, Global Warming, Growth Paradigm, Media, Non-Science, Political Nightmare, Protest & Survive, Public Relations, Realistic Models, Regulatory Ultimatum, Science Rules, Screaming Panic, Social Change, The Data, Unqualified Opinion Balance, Climate Change Science, Climate Science, delayer, denial, denier, economics, Economy, environment, Financial Times, Fiona Harvey, journalism, Media contortion, obstructer, page hits, sceptic, skeptic, unit sales
Posted on July 29th, 2010 No comments
Dr Judith Curry of the Georgia Institute of Technology, should read up a little on the history of anti-science, its methods, its proponents and its arguments, before throwing in her lot with the anti-science people of today : Steve McIntyre and his buddies.
To demonstrate that anti-science arguments are nothing new, she should try to work out what science the following excerpt is about, and when the events it describes took place :-Bad Science, Climate Change, Delay and Deny, Disturbing Trends, Divide & Rule, Fair Balance, Freak Science, Global Warming, Non-Science, Realistic Models, Science Rules 1980s, anti-Science, denial, denier, Dr Judith Curry, Erik Conway, Erik M. Conway, Georgia Institute of Technology, Georgia Tech, Judith Curry, Naomi Oreskes, obstructer, sceptic, SDI, skeptic, Star Wars
Posted on July 28th, 2010 1 comment
The Liberal Democrat and Conservative Members of Parliament in the United Kingdom spent almost an entire week crafting a political framework for power-sharing after the “hung” General Election.
Those considered the most appropriate people were appointed to positions in the central Cabinet, people from both political parties, with the aim and ambition of working together closely and fraternally.
Back room agreements were painstakingly forged, deals were clearly made, and explained publicly in a transparent fashion. In the day-to-day operation of Government, it is made clear who is speaking on behalf of themselves, their party or the Coalition.
This is probably the best example of cooperative, progressive politics since…I don’t know when. But all Christopher Booker seems to want to do is snipe, moan and smear, and appears to throw in as many factually incorrect allegations and fake statistics about wind power as he possibly can.
I certainly wouldn’t pay him to write such divisive, unreferenced, unverified stuff. What’s he trying to do ? Split public opinion ? :-Climate Change, Cost Effective, Divide & Rule, Energy Revival, Global Warming, Growth Paradigm, Low Carbon Life, Media, Political Nightmare, Public Relations, Regulatory Ultimatum, Renewable Resource, Social Change, Solar Sunrise, Wind of Fortune Chris Huhne, Christopher Booker, Conservative Party, cost competitive, Daily Mail, Daily Telegraph, delayer, denier, Economy, electricity, Energy, Energy Policy, free energy, free fuel, free fuel forever, free power, government intervention, government regulation, high rates of return, James Delingpole, Low Carbon Energy, Margaret Thatcher, obstructer, sceptic, skeptic, Wind Farm, wind finance, Wind Power, Wind Turbine
Posted on July 26th, 2010 3 comments
Following Dr Judith Curry’s appeal on ClimateProgress regarding the recent RealClimate post from Tamino, that Joe Romm, and all of us, should be reading your work, I decided to take a brief look at your output on ClimateAudit in order to see what all the fuss from Judith Curry was about :-
“19. Judith Curry says: July 25, 2010 at 9:19 pm : …So if any of you have actually read as much as I have on this topic including Montford’s [Bishop Hill] book and the climateaudit threads particularly McIntyre’s most recent post, well then we might have something to talk about. Otherwise, we can just sit back and all be entertained by tribalistic wardances.”
“107. Judith Curry says: 23 July 2010 at 12:44 PM : Once more people have read the [Montford, Bishop Hill] book, and if Montford and McIntyre were welcomed to participate in the discussion, then I would be interested in participating in a more detailed discussion on this.”Bad Science, Bait & Switch, Climate Change, Delay and Deny, Divide & Rule, Global Singeing, Global Warming, Hide the Incline, Non-Science, Public Relations, The Data, Unqualified Opinion, Unsolicited Advice & Guidance Andrew Montford, Bishop Hill, Climate Change, Climate Change Science, Climate Science, ClimateAudit, Climategate, ClimateProgress, contrarian, delay, delayer, denial, denier, Global Warming, Judith Curry, obstructer, Open Mind, RealClimate, sceptic, Science, skeptic, Steve McIntyre, Tamino
Posted on July 24th, 2010 15 comments
Glad to see Professor Phil Jones is back at work and enrolling students for the autumn on the Climate Change MSc postgraduate degree programme at the University of East Anglia (UEA) Climatic Research Unit (CRU) :-
This course would probably be useful for a number of mainstream media journalists to follow. Even if they don’t have an appropriate background in Physics, Chemistry, Geography, Environmental studies or similar, it could be of benefit to ameliorate their world view.
They could learn something from the lectures and coursework – that the Science of Climate Change is a serious and rigorous endeavour – unlike the apparently lax behaviour of their own profession over the last year or so.
Investigative journalism without the “investigation” part appears to be a mishmash of unverifiable facts and unfounded opinions. You need to know who is credible at the very least, and you can’t get that from following the vindictive views of public contrarians.
If you want to understand Climate Change, you need to study the Science, not just read denier-sceptic web logs or talk to Steve McIntyre, Benny Peiser, Marc Morano, Anthony Watts, Doug Keenan, Nigel Lawson or Christopher Monckton, and think that you have thereby become sufficiently informed.
“Climategate”-style attacks on Climate Change Scientists by negatively-motivated commentators are completely unacceptable. Media workers need to learn to identify those whose opinions they cannot trust.Bad Science, Bait & Switch, Climate Change, Delay and Deny, Divide & Rule, Freak Science, Global Singeing, Global Warming, Hide the Incline, Media, Non-Science, Political Nightmare, Public Relations, Science Rules, Social Change, The Data, Unqualified Opinion Amazongate, Anthony Watts, Benny Peiser, Christopher Monckton, Climate Change, Climategate, Climatic Research Unit, contrarian, CRU, denier, Doug Keenan, Global Warming, James Delingpole, Marc Morano, Nigel Lawson, Patrick Michaels, Phil Jones, Piers Corbyn, Ross McKitrick, sceptic, skeptic, Steve McIntyre, UEA, University of East Anglia
Posted on July 23rd, 2010 No comments
So, was the exceptionally cold winter 2009 – 2010 in North America, Europe and parts of Asia a sign of Global Cooling ?
Noooo. Not a bit of it. It was down to “internal variability” of the climate system :-
“GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 37, L14703, 6 PP., 2010 : doi:10.1029/2010GL043830 : Northern Hemisphere winter snow anomalies: ENSO, NAO and the winter of 2009/10 : Seager et al…conclude that the negative NAO [North Atlantic Oscillation] and El Nino [positive ENSO] event were responsible for the northern hemisphere snow anomalies of winter 2009/10…”
Expect fireworks and/or damp squibs from denier-sceptic quarters.
Posted on July 15th, 2010 No comments
Here is my entry for the Christopher Monckton limerick competition, which was sadly received too late to enter, since voting is now open :-
“There once was a fella called Monckton,
Who claimed he’d been litigiously dumped on;
Twas patent absurd,
But steam could be heard
Escaping clenched teeth as Abr’am debunked him.”
If you want to show your support for John Abraham in his rebuttal of Christopher Monckton’s non-science, please comment here :-Bad Science, Bait & Switch, Climate Change, Divide & Rule, Global Singeing, Global Warming, Hide the Incline, Non-Science, Protest & Survive, Unqualified Opinion Anthropogenic Climate Change, Anthropogenic Global Warming, Christopher Monckton, Climate Change, Climate Change Science, Climate Science, denial, denier, Global Warming, John Abraham, obstructer, sceptic, Science, skeptic