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		<title>What Does GWPF Really Stand For ?</title>
		<link>http://www.joabbess.com/2012/02/01/what-does-gwpf-really-stand-for/</link>
		<comments>http://www.joabbess.com/2012/02/01/what-does-gwpf-really-stand-for/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 Feb 2012 11:08:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jo</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[This article was written by M. A. Rodger and was originally posted at DeSmogBlog and is syndicated by an informal agreement and with the express permission of both the author and DeSmogBlog, without payment or charge. The author&#8217;s original artwork here was not included over at DeSmogBlog. The Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF) is a [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><TABLE><TR><TD><A HREF="http://www.desmogblog.com/what-does-gwpf-really-stand"><IMG SRC="http://www.desmogblog.com/sites/beta.desmogblog.com/files/blogimages/gwpf_1.jpg" WIDTH="400" /></A></TD><TD><B>This article was written by <A HREF="https://sites.google.com/site/marclimategraphs/">M. A. Rodger</A> and was <A HREF="http://www.desmogblog.com/what-does-gwpf-really-stand">originally posted at DeSmogBlog</A> and is syndicated by an informal agreement and with the express permission of both the author and <A HREF="http://www.desmogblog.com/media_centre">DeSmogBlog</A>, without payment or charge. The author&#8217;s original artwork here was not included over at <A HREF="http://www.desmogblog.com/slamming-the-climate-skeptic-scam">DeSmogBlog</A>.</B></TD></TR><TR><TD COLSPAN="2"></p>
<p>The Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF) is a UK-based climate-sceptic think-tank founded in November 2009 by Lord Lawson. Within two years of its launch, <A HREF="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-15639767">a survey of scepticism in the global media</A> by Oxford University&#8217;s RISJ had added a final chapter showing the GWPF had <A HREF="http://originalcarbon.com/2011/11/11/climate-scepticism-receives-coverage-english-speaking-world/">gained success</A> in &#8220;inserting itself into the (UK) national discourse&#8221; and that its founder and its director had become &#8220;the two most quoted sceptics by far&#8221; within the UK national&nbsp;press.</p>
<p>The GWPF believes it has made a difference, <A HREF="http://www.thegwpf.org/who-we-are/history-and-mission.html/">saying of itself</A> &#8220;The key to the success of the GWPF is the trust and credibility that we have earned in the eyes of a growing number of policy makers, journalists and the interested public.&#8221; Yet the GWPF has also been criticised for being <A HREF="http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2011/jan/20/global-warming-policy-foundation-donors?INTCMP=SRCH%5C%22">secretive</A>, <A HREF="http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2011/nov/22/chris-huhne-lawson-think-tank?INTCMP=SRCH%5C%22">misinformed, wrong and perverse.</A></p>
<p>Here a series of posts will examine the GWPF and some of its publications to discover what GWPF really stands for. Are they a company of virtuous paragons ? Are they a pack of unprincipled scoundrels ? In this first post, we&rsquo;ll explore the background of this climate denial &#8220;think&#8221; tank.</p>
<p><IMG SRC="http://www.changecollege.org.uk/img/HEAD1.jpg" WIDTH="250"/><br />
<strong>WHAT IS THE GWPF&nbsp;?</strong></p>
<p>The GWPF is a <A HREF="http://www.charity-commission.gov.uk/Showcharity/RegisterOfCharities/CharityWithPartB.aspx?RegisteredCharityNumber=1131448&amp;SubsidiaryNumber=0%5C%22">UK-registered charity</A> and as such its work is defined as &#8220;an all party and non-party think tank and educational charity. Its main purpose is to advance the public understanding of global warming and of its possible consequences, and also of the measures taken in response to such warming.&#8221;<br />
<A HREF="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nigel_Lawson/">Nigel Lawson (Baron Lawson of Blaby) </A>was encouraged to found the GWPF through the &#8220;surprising&#8221; success of his book in which he espoused global warming scepticism. Lawson takes the role of Chairman of the Board of Trustees, <A HREF="http://www.thegwpf.org/who-we-are/board-of-trustees.html/">a body comprising</A> six members of the British peerage, a knight of the realm, <A HREF="http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/3255461.stm/">an anti-gay bishop</A> and a French economist. The GWPF&#8217;s Director, <A HREF="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Benny_Peiser/">Dr Benny Peiser,</A> was a lecturer (Sport and Exercise Sciences) with interests in Near-Earth Objects and the founder of <A HREF="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CCNet_%28network%29/">CCNet</A>, (which the GWPF calls the &#8220;worlds leading climate policy network&#8221;) concerned with NEOs and the doomsday scaremongering about climate change.</p>
<p>To assist the GWPF in its work, it has recruited a 26-strong <A HREF="http://www.thegwpf.org/who-we-are/academic-advisory-council.html/">Academic Advisory Council.</A> Chaired by Prof David Henderson, a &#8220;<A HREF="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Henderson_%28economist%29/">prominent global warming sceptic,</A>&#8221; this Council included Professors Robert Carter, Richard Linzden <span class="amp">&amp; Ross McKitrick and many other lesser known sceptics.</p>
<p>With a roll-call such as this, anybody would be forgiven for dismissing the GWPF as an organisation unabashed in its mission to spread sceptical disinformation. But anybody would be wrong&nbsp;!</p>
<p><IMG SRC="http://www.changecollege.org.uk/img/HEAD2.jpg" WIDTH="250" /><br />
<strong>NOT UNABASHED SCEPTICS</strong></p>
<p>The GWPF <A HREF="http://www.thegwpf.org/who-we-are/history-and-mission.html/">describes itself</A> as &#8220;unique&#8221;. It is funded solely by individuals and charitable trusts. To emphasise its &#8220;complete independence&#8221;, it refuses money from those with significant interests in energy companies. It also has a set of principles that GWPF says &#8220;set us apart from most other stakeholders in the climate debates.&#8221;</p>
<p>[DeSmogBlog Editorial Note: See DeSmogBlog&rsquo;s coverage of the appeal by UK journalist <A HREF="http://www.desmogblog.com/will-global-warming-policy-foundation-s-seed-funder-be-revealed">Brendan Montague to compel the release of information about the GWPF's seed funder</A>.]</p>
<p>These principles tell us that the GWPF does not have an official view on the science of global warming (except that &#8220;this issue is not settled yet&#8221;). Its members and supporters &#8220;cover a broad range of different views, from the IPCC position through agnosticism to outright scepticism&#8221; and that the GWPF&#8217;s &#8220;main focus is to analyse global warming policies and their economic and other implications.&#8221;</p>
<p>Their fourth principle is a rather strange piece of philosophy for a body that holds no official view on the science &#8211; &#8220;We regard observational evidence and understanding the present as more important and more reliable than computer modelling or predicting the distant future.&#8221;</p>
<p>In a final addition, they emphasise their role as informing the media, politicians and public &#8220;on the subject in general and on the misinformation to which they are all too frequently being subjected at the present time.&#8221;</p>
<p>This then is what the GWPF purports to be about. And don&#8217;t worry if you think this appears all a bit too complicated. It is.</p>
<p><IMG SRC="http://www.changecollege.org.uk/img/HEAD3.jpg" WIDTH="250" /><br />
<strong>SECRET DONORS, FEW MEMBERS</strong></p>
<p>The GWPF accounts to July 2010 show donations of &pound;494,625 and membership fees of &pound;8,186. GWPF has been asked to name its &#8220;secret&#8221; donors. No information has been forthcoming despite Lawson suggesting to a parliamentary inquiry that some donors may be <A HREF="http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/blog/2010/mar/09/global-warming-policy-foundation-job-advert?INTCMP=SRCH%5C%22">willing to forego their anonymity and would be asked to do so.</A></p>
<p>This absence was perhaps explained by Lawson in the <A HREF="http://www.thegwpf.org/images/stories/gwpf-reports/accounts.pdf/">Chairman&#8217;s 2010 statement,</A> saying that in the GWPF&#8217;s area of operation &#8220;anyone who puts their head above the parapet has to be prepared to endure a degree of public vilification.&#8221;</p>
<p>Public vilification&nbsp;? This seems an extremely odd statement to make if GWPF does truly encompass that broad range of views on climate, as their very principles dictate they should, or indeed an organisation that <A HREF="http://www.thegwpf.org/who-we-are/history-and-mission.html/">considers it has earned</A> &#8220;trust and credibility.&#8221;</p>
<p>The accounts presented at that meeting also demonstrate that GWPF has little direct public support. With a minimum fee of &pound;100, &pound;8,186 in membership fees must represent less than 82 members. For a high-profile organisation with Directors, Treasurer, Trustees, Advisers and employees numbering 41, many of whom may be themselves members, such a minuscule membership makes clear that GWPF is but a clique comprising many prominent sceptics and octogenarians. But surely, they will conduct themselves in a true and noble fashion, won&#8217;t they&nbsp;?</p>
<p><IMG SRC="http://www.changecollege.org.uk/img/HEAD4.jpg" WIDTH="250" /><br />
<strong>TRUE &amp; NOBLE CONDUCT&nbsp;?</strong></p>
<p>Given its guiding principles, we would expect the GWPF to be:-</p>
<p>(1) Mainly focused on &#8220;global warming policies and their economic and other implications.&#8221;</p>
<p>(2) Nurturing support from a broad range of viewpoints.</p>
<p>(3) Nailing all that horrid misinformation which <strong>we</strong> are &#8220;all too frequently&#8221; subjected to.</p>
<p>(4) Also we may see pronouncements on the differing climate outcomes that are forecast within the science as such outcomes would drive policy decision-making.</p>
<p>All this, of course, would also involve communicating &#8220;to advance the public understanding of global warming.&#8221; Prominent among the means of achieving this is the GWPF website that they say &#8220;is subjecting climate policies and claims by governments and campaigners to dispassionate analysis based on hard evidence and economic rigour.&#8221; Sounds good. But let us dig a little deeper than the GWPF statement of its History &amp; Mission.</p>
<p>With all these assertions the GWPF makes about itself, one area of concern must be how it handles that broad range of views on climate change, so as to conform to its guiding principles. What of those supporters who hold the <A HREF="http://www.ipcc.ch/">IPCC</A>&#8216;s views on global warming&nbsp;? Is there evidence for such supporters&nbsp;?</p>
<p>It is plain <A HREF="http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/ar5/ar5_authors_review_editors_updated.pdf">IPCC</A> supporters need thick skins at the GWPF website. The site does feature an <A HREF="http://www.thegwpf.org/component/content/section/3.html/">IPCC Corner</A> but this is not for them. It is for items on what&#8217;s wrong with the IPCC and IPCC blunders.</p>
<p>Searching the GWPF website for the term &#8220;IPCC&#8221; (&amp; ignoring the content of IPCC Corner) returns 49 items. They are an interesting collection. 39 items involve criticism of the IPCC, 25 of them strongly enough to constitute an attack. The remaining 10 items make simple reference to or mention of the IPCC without criticism or praise.</p>
<p>These 49 items also overwhelmingly present an outright sceptical viewpoint with no item overtly accepting the need to tackle human emissions of greenhouse gases as the IPCC demonstrate is necessary. There is no evidence here that the GWPF pays the slightest heed to the merits of the IPCC or <A HREF="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_opinion_on_climate_change">those who agree with it</A>.</p>
<p>There is also very little climate change policy discussed in these items. They are more concerned with that climate science which the GWPF holds no view on (24 items) or with the criticism of scientists and the scientific process (23 items). The coverage is too general in nature to be considered as work identifying that horrid misinformation. Indeed, it is all very difficult to square the GWPF website content with even just a single one of those guiding principles that the GWPF has set itself.</p>
<p>What is perhaps most difficult to accept is that the vast majority of these 49 items (42 items) are re-posted from elsewhere. They thus represent not the output of GWPF researchers but a simple trawl of the internet. Why then is the outcome of such a trawl so skewed towards a sceptical viewpoint when the GWPF supporters allegedly hold a broad set of viewpoints, including that of the IPCC&nbsp;? The fine principles with which the GWPF tries to dress itself appear here to count for naught.</p>
<p><IMG SRC="http://www.changecollege.org.uk/img/HEAD5.jpg" WIDTH="250"/><br />
<strong>BLIND CLIMATE SCIENCE</strong></p>
<p>The prominence of the GWPF has resulted in Lawson often featuring in the UK media. One instance of this was <A HREF="http://www.tyndall.ac.uk/audio/kevin-anderson-debates-global-warming-nigel-lawson-jeremy-vines-show/">a head-to-head BBC Radio debate between Lawson and Prof Kevin Anderson of the University of Manchester.</A> The BBC&#8217;s Radio 2 (originally called the Light Programme) is a reasonably low-brow forum for debate. (Listeners to the 23-minute recording linked above will note there was originally a musical interlude &ndash; appropriately Mad World by Tears For Fears.)</p>
<p>Even so, Lawson makes pronouncements on climate science and not once is it mentioned that these are his personal views and not the views of the GWPF. For all intent and purpose Lawson, twice described as the Chairman of the GWPF, is blindly presenting the GWPF view on climate science, something that the GWPF says does not exist&nbsp;!</p>
<p>What Lawson says in this interview is also riven with inaccuracy. Even by the standards of a low-brow forum like Radio 2, Lawson was given a very easy time by Anderson who is probably not that used to confronting such foolishness.</p>
<p><IMG SRC="http://www.changecollege.org.uk/img/HEAD6.jpg" WIDTH="250"/><br />
<strong>IMPENDING &#8220;BANKRUPTCY&#8221;&nbsp;?</strong></p>
<p>It is not just with his contributions on BBC Radio that Lawson has been criticised for misinformation. Even a UK government minister has <A HREF="http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2011/nov/22/chris-huhne-lawson-think-tank?INTCMP=SRCH%5C%22">berated GWPF and Lawson&#8217;s inaccurate messages,</A> calling them misinformed, wrong and the GWPF&#8217;s policy advice &#8220;perverse.&#8221;</p>
<p>Such is the level of misinformation emanating from the GWPF that it has been <A HREF="http://www.skepticalscience.com//http:/www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2011/oct/21/lord-lawson-global-warming-errors?INTCMP=SRCH%5C%22">suggested</A> they are in breach of <A HREF="http://www.http://www.charity-commission.gov.uk/Publications/cc9.aspx">the Charity Commission guidance on campaigning and political activity.</A> Charities may peddle controversial and &#8220;emotive material&#8221; but crucially &#8220;Such material must be factually accurate and have a well-founded evidence base.&#8221; This requirement appears to be something the GWPF seem to ignore while they continue to enjoy the tax exemptions afforded to true charities.</p>
<p>When concluding their statement of History &amp; Mission, the GWPF say &#8220;For us, public trust is our most important asset.&#8221;</p>
<p>In such terms, the cost of their website and media behaviour must be excessive and could soon render the GWPF bankrupt of public trust. Yet this may be a premature conclusion as our examination of the GWPF has yet to run its course. In the next post we will turn to a different outlet for GWPF messages and examine one of their Briefing Papers.</TD></TR></TABLE>			</p>
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		<title>Wind Powers #1 : Civitas Fictitious ?</title>
		<link>http://www.joabbess.com/2012/01/12/wind-powers-1-civitas-fictitious/</link>
		<comments>http://www.joabbess.com/2012/01/12/wind-powers-1-civitas-fictitious/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Jan 2012 13:14:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jo</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[[ An extract from the online Christian Ecology Link discussion forum : 11th January 2012 ] The Civitas report on wind farms. A couple of days ago, Civitas published a report entitled, &#8220;Electricity costs: the folly of wind-power&#8221; : http://www.civitas.org.uk/press/prleaelectricityprices.htm [ Download report PDF ] This report was produced by the Civitas economist, Ruth Lea. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[ An extract from the online Christian Ecology Link discussion forum : 11th January 2012 ]</p>
<p>The Civitas report on wind farms.</p>
<p>A couple of days ago, Civitas published a report entitled, &#8220;Electricity costs: the folly of wind-power&#8221; : <A HREF="http://www.civitas.org.uk/press/prleaelectricityprices.htm">http://www.civitas.org.uk/press/prleaelectricityprices.htm</A> [ Download report <A HREF="http://www.civitas.org.uk/economy/electricitycosts2012.pdf">PDF</A> ]</p>
<p>This report was produced by the Civitas economist, <A HREF="http://www.global-vision.net/ourteam.asp">Ruth Lea</A>. The report attracted a <A HREF="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/earthnews/9000760/Wind-power-is-expensive-and-ineffective-at-cutting-CO2-say-Civitas.html">fair</A> <A HREF="http://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales-news/2012/01/09/civitas-think-tank-s-report-blasts-wind-power-as-a-costly-folly-91466-30089721/">bit</A> of <A HREF="http://www.theatlanticwire.com/technology/2012/01/benefits-wind-power-questioned/47146/">publicity</A> and even more <A HREF="http://www.bwea.com/media/news/articles/pr20120109.html">antagonism</A> from those <A HREF="http://www.businessgreen.com/bg/news/2135974/renewableuk-slams-civitas-wind-power-report-inaccurate-outdated">within</A> the <A HREF="http://www.greenwisebusiness.co.uk/news/thinktank-civitas-blasted-over-flawed-wind-power-report-2943.aspx">renewables</A> <A HREF="http://www.evwind.es/noticias.php?id_not=15750">industry</A>. Sadly, as usual <A HREF="http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2012/01/08/wind-farms-useless-carbon-emissions-civitas-think-tank_n_1192495.html?ref=uk&#038;ref=uk">the media</A> have done rather <A HREF="http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2084046/Wind-power-does-value-money-unreliable-requires-gas-stations.html?ito=feeds-newsxml">less research than they should have</A>; in particular they failed to check the background of the authorities quoted, though the Guardian did point to <A HREF="http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/blog/2012/jan/09/wind-turbines-increasing-carbon-emissions">Lea&#8217;s views on climate change</A>.</p>
<p>The following YouTube link leads to Ruth Lea denying the significance of anthropogenic climate change and the &#8216;flaws&#8217; in Britain&#8217;s expensive climate change legislation. She uses all the same sad old errors and, in so doing, limits her credibility as an effective researcher : <A HREF="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UvmgUYGgqwU">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UvmgUYGgqwU</A> <A HREF="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qcFfxUIRbyo">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qcFfxUIRbyo</A></p>
<p>Her comments seem to be straight out of the Chicago School mythology that economics overrides nature &#8211; the view of many scientifically illiterates. </p>
<p>But it gets better, she quotes, as an authority, Dr Kees le Pair, but fails to mention that he is a member of the &#8216;Committee of Recommendation&#8217; of the Fusion Energy Foundation. The development of nuclear fusion, if it happens, will require very significant investment, investment that could, perhaps, otherwise be made in wind farms and other renewables so there is an important conflict of interest that has been wholly ignored : <A HREF="http://www.fusionenergyfoundation.org/about-us">http://www.fusionenergyfoundation.org/about-us</A></p>
<p>This matters to all of us because it shows the dangerous level of uncritical evaluation that is made of so called scientific reports and information sources. I still remember the days past when research involved trips to libraries and hours of reading and, unless, the library had an academic connection, new information would not have been easily available. </p>
<p>Perhaps it was the more difficult nature of research that made the media, and much of its audience, that much more careful. The advent of the Internet has provided for rapid transmission of information, straight to your computer or even your smartphone, but apparently at the cost of critical evaluation. So much information is available that even report writers seem to fail to check the background of their sources or the veracity of the information given by that source. Yet, that same Internet provides the means of checking and it&#8217;s far less tedious than back in the days of library visits.</p>
<p>Careful use of a search engine can throw up evidence of partiality and YouTube can often confirm background beliefs that have overridden scientific evidence if not common sense. It&#8217;s not just<br />
in reports such as this one from Civitas but also within so many anti this, that and the other environmental groups that plague the Internet.</p>
<p>Look carefully at Occupy, for example, and dig deeply enough, you will find some truly amazing YouTube material on the way in which the City of London is a part of worldwide Zionism that is somehow linked with the Vatican and Knights Templar ! Did you know that the Bank of England is owned by the Rothschilds ? The Internet, as well as giving freer voice to information also gives voice to conspiracy theorists and to the murk of prejudice. Just as it is both wrong and dangerous to spread unfounded rumours so it is to spread disinformation, so please use your search engine, take a little time and then critically assess whether this information that you have been given is likely to be both accurate and honest. </p>
<p>RT </p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
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		<item>
		<title>Open Letter to Renewable Energy Deniers</title>
		<link>http://www.joabbess.com/2012/01/10/open-letter-to-renewable-energy-deniers/</link>
		<comments>http://www.joabbess.com/2012/01/10/open-letter-to-renewable-energy-deniers/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 Jan 2012 15:32:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jo</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Advancing Africa]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.joabbess.com/?p=12707</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[To all Renewable Energy Deniers, Things are getting so much better with renewable energy engineering and deployment &#8211; why do you continue to think it&#8217;s useless ? We admit that, at the start, energy conversion efficiencies were low, wind turbine noise was significant, kit was expensive. Not now. Wind and solar farms have been built, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>To all Renewable Energy Deniers,</p>
<p>Things are getting so much better with renewable energy engineering and deployment &#8211; why do you continue to think it&#8217;s useless ?</p>
<p>We admit that, at the start, energy conversion efficiencies were low, wind turbine noise was significant, kit was expensive. Not now. Wind and solar farms have been built, data collected and research published. Design modifications have improved performance.</p>
<p>Modelling has helped integrate renewable energy into the grids. As renewable energy technologies have been deployed at scale, and improvements and adjustments have been made, and electricity grid networks have adapted to respond to the variable nature of the wind and the sunshine, we know, and we can show you, that renewable energy is working.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s not really clear what motivates you to dismiss renewable energy. Maybe it&#8217;s because you&#8217;re instinctively opposed to anything that looks like it comes from an &#8220;envionmentalist&#8221; perspective. </p>
<p>Maybe because renewable energy is mandated to mitigate against climate change, and you have a persistent view that climate change is a hoax. Why you mistrust the science on global warming when you accept the science on everything else is a continuing mystery to me. </p>
<p>But if that&#8217;s where you&#8217;re coming from when you scorn developments in renewable energy, you&#8217;re making a vital mistake. You see, renewable energy is sustainable energy. Despite any collapse in the globalised economy, or disruption to fossil fuel production, wind turbines will keep spinning, and solar panels will keep glowing.</p>
<p>Climate change has been hard to communicate effectively &#8211; it&#8217;s a huge volume of research, it frequently appears esoteric, or vague, or written by boffins with their heads in the clouds. Some very intelligent people are still not sure about the finer points of the effects of global warming, and so you&#8217;re keeping good company if you reserve judgement on some of the more fringe research.</p>
<p>But attacking renewable energy is your final stand. With evidence from the engineering, it is rapidly becoming clear that renewable energy works. The facts are proving you wrong. </p>
<p>And when people realise you&#8217;re wrong about renewable energy, they&#8217;ll never believe you again. They won&#8217;t listen to you when you express doubts about climate change, because you deny the facts of renewable energy.</p>
<p>Those poor fools who have been duped into thinking they are acting on behalf of the environment to campaign against wind farms ! Wind energy will be part of the backbone of the energy grids of the future. </p>
<p>We don&#8217;t want and we can&#8217;t afford the concrete bunkers of deadly radioactive kettles and their nasty waste. We don&#8217;t want and we can&#8217;t afford the slag heaps, dirty air and melting Arctic that comes from burning coal for power. We don&#8217;t want and we can&#8217;t afford to keep oil and Natural Gas producing countries sweet &#8211; or wage war against them to keep the taps open.</p>
<p>Instead we want tall and graceful spinners, their gentle arms waving electricity from the breeze. We want silent and dark photovoltaic cladding on every roof. </p>
<p>Burning things should only be done to cover for intermittency in wind and sunshine. Combustion is very inefficient, yet you support combustion when you oppose renewable energy. </p>
<p>We must fight waste in energy, and the rising cost of energy, and yet you don&#8217;t support the energy resources where there is no charge for fuel. Some would say that&#8217;s curmudgeonly.</p>
<p>When you oppose renewable energy, what is it you&#8217;re fighting for ? The old, inefficient and poisonous behemoths of coal hell ? We who support renewable, sustainable energy, we exchange clunky for sleek, toxic for clean. We provide light and comfort to all, rich and poor.</p>
<p>When you oppose renewable energy, you are being unbelievably gullible &#8211; you have swallowed an argument that can ruin our economy, by locking us into dependency on energy imports. You are passing up the chance to break our political obedience to other countries, all because wind turbines clutter up your panoramic view when you&#8217;re on holiday.</p>
<p>You can question the net energy gain from wind power, but the evidence shows you to be incorrect.</p>
<p>If you criticise the amount of investment and subsidy going into renewable energy, you clearly haven&#8217;t understood the net effect of incentivisation in new technology deployment.</p>
<p>Renewable energy has a positive Net Present Value. Wind turbines and solar panels are genuine assets, unlike the liabilities that are coal-fired power stations and nuclear reactors.</p>
<p>Renewable energy deployment will create meaningful, sustainable employment and is already creating wealth, not only in financial terms, but in social welfare terms too.</p>
<p>Renewable energy will save this country, so why do you knock it ?</p>
<p>Quizzically yours,</p>
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		<title>Clicking with Climate</title>
		<link>http://www.joabbess.com/2011/12/05/clicking-with-climate/</link>
		<comments>http://www.joabbess.com/2011/12/05/clicking-with-climate/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Dec 2011 12:13:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jo</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Advertise Freely]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.joabbess.com/?p=12431</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Image Credit : University of California at Berkeley Human beings have two brains. The first is a self-centred workhorse of pragmatic decision-making, interested in social engagement in order to further individual interests &#8211; whether those interests are purely for personal enrichment or for the reward of the social group more widely. The second human brain [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><TABLE><TR><TD><A HREF="http://www.yesmagazine.org/people-power/interview-with-tina-rosenberg"><IMG SRC="http://chemistry.berkeley.edu/publications/news/2006/images/chemE_TAs_pondering_8554.jpg" WIDTH="400" /></A></p>
<p><A HREF="http://chemistry.berkeley.edu/publications/news/2006/chemical-engineering-ta-teaching-award-061221.php">Image Credit : University of California at Berkeley</A> </TD><TD>Human beings have two brains. The first is a self-centred workhorse of pragmatic decision-making, interested in social engagement in order to further individual interests &#8211; whether those interests are purely for personal enrichment or for the reward of the social group more widely.</p>
<p>The second human brain is a relativistic engine, constantly comparing, reflecting, analysing. We are concerned about other peoples&#8217; emotional response, wondering what other people think about us, responding to peer group pressure.</TD></TR><TR><TD COLSPAN="2">Are we more successful, popular than others ? Do people listen to us more than others ? We know we&#8217;re right, but do they ? We need to pitch ourselves in the right way. We jostle for pole position, for a place on the platform, hoping not to make too many opponents, whilst making more converts to our point of view.</p>
<p>Personally, I don&#8217;t listen to my second brain very often. As a social animal, I hope I&#8217;m tolerant, and my priorities in interpersonal engagement are mutual empowerment, transparent collaboration and inclusion. In my public projection, I&#8217;m not trying to vaunt myself over others, or massage my image for approval, or put up a fake facade. You get me, you get direct.</p>
<p>But I can&#8217;t avoid the second human brain entirely &#8211; as it is the reason for a lot of fuzziness in our view of the world around us. It&#8217;s too easy to stir doubt, falsehoods and bad ideas into the collective cake mix of society, where it fizzes into a bubbling mess. In matters of climate change science and energy engineering, there are no grey areas for me. But for a number of people I know, these are subjects of much confusion, denial and disinformation.</p>
<p>People hold on to the totem of what other people think. And so you have even very intelligent social commentators reciting from paid-for public relations by companies and business pressure groups. Journalists often do not appear to understand the difference between pseudo-science and real live science. There are too many people selling unrealistic, unworkable technological &#8220;solutions&#8221;, particularly in energy, so it&#8217;s hard to know what to accept and what to dismiss.</p>
<p>Yet it is critical to know what rock, what branch to keep a hold of in the flood of information that could sweep us away. The social construction of climate change is an important edifice, a safe house in an information world at war with itself. What high wind can sweep away the grubby pages of non-science from the Daily Mail ? What rising sea can cleanse the Daily Telegraph of its climate change denial columnists ? What can stop the so-called Global Warming Policy Foundation from infecting the Internet with their contrarian position ? What can make us accept the reality and urgency of global warming ? How can we learn to click with climate change ?</p>
<p>Three significant academic thinkers on the social significance of climate change are launching new works at the British Library in London, on 16th January 2012. The British Sociological Association have invited Mike Hulme, John Urry and Gordon Walker to discuss chapters from their recent books which address the question &#8211; where next for society and climate change ? </p>
<p>In the words of Chris Shaw at the University of Sussex, &#8220;they pull no punches in their analyses, and their approach is based on years of research into the social dimensions of the climate change debate. This is an essential opportunity for all those interested in bringing climate change into the democratic sphere, to help understand the issues involved in such a transition. It is also a chance to discuss the ideas with the authors and other delegates.&#8221; </p>
<p>For more information, see <A HREF="http://www.notargets.org.uk/climate-change-book-launch-and-discussion-event.html">here</A> and <A HREF="http://www.britsoc.co.uk/NR/rdonlyres/8B803867-8BB6-45BC-9C14-EE17AAA958F4/0/Climate_Change_160112_Flier.pdf">here</A>.</p>
<p></TD></TR></TABLE></p>
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		<slash:comments>3</slash:comments>
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		<title>Climategate 2011 : It&#8217;s like déjà vu, all over again</title>
		<link>http://www.joabbess.com/2011/11/23/climategate-2011-its-like-deja-vu-all-over-again/</link>
		<comments>http://www.joabbess.com/2011/11/23/climategate-2011-its-like-deja-vu-all-over-again/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Nov 2011 00:13:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jo</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bad Science]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.joabbess.com/?p=12270</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[If I had funding of the order of £494,625.00, I wouldn&#8217;t waste most of it on legal costs, I would spend it on a decent communications campaign &#8211; something fresh and not smelling of two year old turkey sandwiches. Climategate 2011 ? It all smells like déjà vu, all over again. It&#8217;s so fresh, it&#8217;s [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If I had funding of the order of <A HREF="http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2011/nov/22/chris-huhne-lawson-think-tank?newsfeed=true">£494,625.00</A>, I wouldn&#8217;t waste most of it on <A HREF="http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2011/nov/22/chris-huhne-lawson-think-tank?newsfeed=true">legal costs</A>, I would spend it on a decent communications campaign &#8211; something fresh and not smelling of <A HREF="http://thinkprogress.org/romm/2011/11/22/374559/fool-me-once-shame-on-you-fool-me-twice-shame-on-the-media-more-stolen-emails-global-warming/">two year old turkey sandwiches</A>.</p>
<p><A HREF="http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/jamesdelingpole/100119087/uh-oh-global-warming-loons-here-comes-climategate-ii/">Climategate 2011</A> ? It all smells like déjà vu, all over again. It&#8217;s so fresh, it&#8217;s <A HREF="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-15840562">practically putrid</A>. Who&#8217;s going to <A HREF="http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn21203-climategate-2-hacked-emails-released.html">take this seriously</A> ?</p>
<p>If I were to have a word with the media outreach team of the organisation behind Climategate, I&#8217;d recommend they try climbing up the strategy ladder a bit. As Michael E. Mann says, this latest &#8220;release&#8221; of electronic mail, that is actually several years out of date, is &#8220;<A HREF="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/45405456">pathetic</A>&#8220;. </p>
<p>Electronic mail is informal &#8211; it does not constitute official publication of facts or figures. It is not formal research; it is &#8220;free speech&#8221; dialogue, protected under numerous laws in many jurisdictions. For the climate change sceptics to base their arguments against climate change science on the basis of climate change scientists&#8217; e-mail is ridiculous. No, it&#8217;s worse than ridiculous, it&#8217;s laugh-out-loud weak. Anyone who has been drawn into the Climategate narrative is not thinking very carefully, or they would realise how tendentious and flimsy it is.</p>
<p>Look guys, we&#8217;ve had the inquiries, the reports, the investigations, the debates. <A HREF="http://berkeleyearth.org/">You lost</A>. Get over it. The climate change scientists have done nothing wrong. Start reading the actual science instead of the trumped-up nothing-there scandal.</p>
<p>Global Warming is a fact. It&#8217;s caused by excessive human greenhouse gas emissions. Climate Change is real, it&#8217;s happening now, and it&#8217;s causing damages around the world. It&#8217;s going to get worse &#8211; much worse &#8211; if we don&#8217;t have an integrated policy response. </p>
<p>All the recommendations of the economists have failed. All the international negotiations have so far failed. Many of the promises of the technologists have failed. </p>
<p>My dear climate change sceptics and skeptics, we need to pull together to resolve this. All your carping, speculation and stirring the pot isn&#8217;t helping. Can you please find some arguments that have a foundation in reality; proposals that can contribute something positive &#8211; or just get out of the road &#8211; you&#8217;re snarling up the traffic of genuine progress.</p>
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		<slash:comments>6</slash:comments>
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		<title>Another Meeting I Will Not Be Attending</title>
		<link>http://www.joabbess.com/2011/11/21/another-meeting-i-will-not-be-attending/</link>
		<comments>http://www.joabbess.com/2011/11/21/another-meeting-i-will-not-be-attending/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Nov 2011 02:07:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jo</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.joabbess.com/?p=12241</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[What appears to be a serious event is due to take place at the Energy Institute in London on 6th December 2011, &#8220;Peak Oil &#8211; assessing the economic impact on global oil supply&#8220;. Dr Roger Bentley, author of a seminal 2002 paper on the subject, research that spawned hundreds of related learned articles, will be [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><TABLE><TR><TD><A HREF="http://www.changecollege.org.uk/img/The_Times_20111001_Matt_Ridley.jpg"><IMG SRC="http://www.changecollege.org.uk/img/The_Times_20111001_Matt_Ridley.jpg" WIDTH="400" /></A></TD><TD>What appears to be a serious event is due to take place at the Energy Institute in London on 6th December 2011, &#8220;<A HREF="http://www.energyinst.org/events/view/591">Peak Oil &#8211; assessing the economic impact on global oil supply</A>&#8220;.</p>
<p>Dr Roger Bentley, author of a <A HREF="http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421501001446">seminal 2002 paper</A> on the subject, research that spawned hundreds of related learned articles, will be speaking.</p>
<p>But the event organisers have also invited one Dr Matt Ridley, the self-styled &#8220;rational optimist&#8221;, and member of the Global Warming Policy Foundation, and this, I&#8217;m afraid, prevents me from attending.<br />
</TD></TR><TR><TD COLSPAN="2"><br />
Ridley projects a view that many probably find comforting &#8211; as his headline in The Times of 1st October 2011 summarises &#8211; &#8220;Cheer up. The world&#8217;s not going to the dogs&#8221;.</p>
<p>He has been captured <A HREF="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OLHh9E5ilZ4">speaking at a TEDx event</A> pouring scorn on &#8220;environmental&#8221; scare stories of the past, but not bothering to delve or dig into how mankind has actually gone out of its way to act on past crises and prevent catastrophes.</p>
<p>And now he&#8217;s thrown in his lot with the <A HREF="http://thegwpf.org/images/stories/gwpf-reports/Shale-Gas_4_May_11.pdf">shale gas miracle men</A>, writing a report with a foreword by Freeman Dyson, one of the world&#8217;s most balanced individuals.</p>
<p>How much uncorroborated optimism can one man contain ?</p>
<p></TD></TR></TABLE></p>
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		<title>Everyone&#8217;s Entitled to their Opinion</title>
		<link>http://www.joabbess.com/2011/11/21/everyones-entitled-to-their-opinion/</link>
		<comments>http://www.joabbess.com/2011/11/21/everyones-entitled-to-their-opinion/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Nov 2011 00:26:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jo</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bad Science]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Unqualified Opinion]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.joabbess.com/?p=12225</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Yes, indeed they are. Everyone is entitled to hold their own particular opinion. In this democracy of ideas, every longshot, wingnut, bonehead, rogue, charlatan, conspiracy theorist, crank, crony and astroturfer should be permitted access to the microphone on the stage. If we hold a public meeting about immigration, we should, of course, invite a white [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yes, indeed they are. Everyone is entitled to hold their own particular opinion. In this democracy of ideas, every longshot, wingnut, bonehead, rogue, charlatan, conspiracy theorist, crank, crony and astroturfer should be permitted access to the microphone on the stage. If we hold a public meeting about immigration, we should, of course, invite a white supremicist, a member of the British National Party, and a Daily Mail journalist to offer us their wise words. If we hold a sociological symposium on the Second World War, we should of course invite a Holocaust-denier. If an engineering conference, a cold  fusion-in-a-test-tube enthusiast. Of course we should provide balance, as much balance as possible, and offer wisdom, insight and rant from all ends of all spectra. It&#8217;s only reasonable. </p>
<p>It therefore goes without question that somebody from the Global Warming Policy Foundation &#8220;think tank&#8221;, so copiously and generously sponsored by a person or persons unknown, should be invited to speak on the platform, or in a panel, at a well-funded quasi-establishment meeting on Climate Change. Regardless of a complete lack of training in atmospheric physics, or even knowledge of the span of the last five years in the science of global warming, naturally, a GWPF man must be invited by GovToday to a <A HREF="http://www.carbon-reduction.co.uk">presitigious conference to be held on 29th November 2011 in the City of London</A> grandly entitled &#8220;2011 Carbon Reduction : The Transition to a Low Carbon Economy&#8221;. </p>
<p><span id="more-12225"></span>Jennifer Elson telephoned me on 18th November 2011, to proudly inform me that she could offer a funded place at this conference, and that GovToday was keen to reach senior decision makers in my network. GovToday, she assured me, has access to the Carbon Trust (cue the name-dropping), the UK Government Department of Energy and Climate Cange and the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs. She excitedly offered the GovToday strategy &#8211; to build long-term strategic relationships, from Ministerial level right through to the Third Sector. My goodness, in the last few days, literally, she had been talking to organisations about hydropower, local produce, timber framing &#8211; a third of the cost of building with brick. Was I not impressed ?</p>
<p>Yes, on 29th November, 2011 Carbon Reduction would be chaired and ably facilitated by Krishnan Guru Murthy. &#8220;Ah&#8221;, I said, &#8220;Channel 4&#8243;, realising finally that this was to be a media-friendly event. Stefaan Vergote, she said, would be there &#8211; big in Europe he is, and they would also have Benny Peiser of the Global Warming Policy Foundation.</p>
<p>&#8220;What gives him the right to speak at this event ?&#8221;, I asked, incredulous. &#8220;He has no relevant academic expertise&#8221;. The young thing on the other end of the phone was a tad flummoxed. &#8220;I&#8217;m relatively new to this organisation&#8221;, she rushed, &#8220;his view is controversial. There are a minority who share his opinion. We want to get everyone&#8217;s perspective.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;You&#8217;re putting him on a platform&#8221;, I said. &#8220;Everyone&#8217;s entitled to their view&#8221;, she reasoned. &#8220;You need research to back it up&#8221;, I replied.</p>
<p>&#8220;He&#8217;s very passionate&#8221;, she claimed. &#8220;But does he know anything ?&#8221;, I countered. &#8220;The GWPF do not have the credentials, according to a large number of experts. I find it absolutely astonishing that you should invite him.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;We&#8217;re putting him on the panel to question the policymakers&#8221;, she offered, &#8220;&#8230;cause a bit of controversy. Without someone posing these sorts of questions [there would be no debate]. He&#8217;s the voice of the sceptics.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Why should he be there ?&#8221; I asked. &#8220;It&#8217;s important that all views be represented&#8221;, she responded. I started to pick up my voluminous carpet bag of umbrage, &#8220;Not all views are important. Not all views are relevant. Everyone is entitled to their own opinions, but everyone is not entitled to their own facts. Opinions are different from academic [and practical] expertise&#8230;&#8221;</p>
<p>She sounded miffed, &#8220;We have many people attending with expertise.&#8221; &#8220;But apparently he doesn&#8217;t&#8221;, I asserted, &#8220;why do you need to offer a balance when it&#8217;s a minority view and he doesn&#8217;t possess a relevant academic or professional qualification ? I mean, would you have to invite a member of the English Defence League to a public debate on border controls ?&#8221;</p>
<p>At this, she put me on to her line manager, the ebullient Ron Pusey, Head of Delegates. He was truculent, &#8220;You haven&#8217;t got an argument.&#8221; Au contraire, Ronny boy, &#8220;The events we put forward are balanced. To balance the argument we must include climate change denial. The Global Warming Policy Foundation have a [track record]. The worst thing would be a political vacuum &#8211; where [there's only one point of view expressed]&#8230;&#8221;, he rattled on, probably not quite believing what he was spewing.</p>
<p>&#8220;You&#8217;re welcome to put forward who you like&#8221;, he offered, and I thought, my network doesn&#8217;t have the kind of funding and available staff to take on climate change deniers in public debate.</p>
<p>&#8220;Why do you respect that organisation ?&#8221; I asked. &#8220;I respect their right to get involved&#8221;, he replied, which would have actually been quite a fair argument, had the playing field been level, &#8220;I would restrict some people&#8230;[but it's] essential that people be able to express themselves.&#8221; Yeah, right, it would be great if more people could get to express themselves in public debate, but not everybody has the time, funding or presentational skills.</p>
<p>Ronny challenged me to come out from hiding behind the telephone. &#8220;You&#8217;ve got an opportunity to get engaged&#8221;, he raised. &#8220;I&#8217;m not going to waste my time&#8221;, I volunteered. I mean, if they are going to invite Benny Peiser to speak at a climate change meeting, they clearly have no idea about the issue. </p>
<p>The real frontline, the significant debates in climate change, are not about whether it&#8217;s happening (it is), or even how bad it&#8217;s going to get (it will). And the technologies to mitigate climate change are the same as they ever were &#8211; no debate required : energy conservation, carbon displacement and renewable energy. The central debate, in actual fact, is about whether policy sticks or policy carrots will have the greatest effect. Most people seem to think that carbon taxation, carbon pricing, carbon trading and carbon penalties are the way to go. Others think that paying for the things we want is more productive than charging for the things we don&#8217;t want.</p>
<p>&#8220;We&#8217;ve spent an extra quarter of a million pounds in putting on events&#8221;, he levelled. Clearly, the money has not been well-spent, when they cannot even collect the know-how together to work out who is best to invite to a climate change policy event. </p>
<p>I said I wasn&#8217;t interested in joining in with a fixed fight. He should know, but perhaps he doesn&#8217;t, that climate change deniers use public debating methods like the Gish Gallop, basically filibustering people with nonsense. &#8220;You can&#8217;t bring 200 years of science to a 15 minute debate&#8221;, I said. You can&#8217;t even properly present two &#8220;sides&#8221; in an hour-long panel discussion. &#8220;It&#8217;s an artificial debate that you have set up. Why should I get involved in your event when you invite Benny Peiser to the platform ? You&#8217;re on the wrong track.&#8221;</p>
<p>Ron tried one last fake conciliatory gesture, &#8220;It&#8217;s really lovely that you care enough&#8230;&#8221;. I interrupted, &#8220;If you knew more you wouldn&#8217;t invite unhelpful participants. You don&#8217;t care. Do you have a public relations background ?&#8221;</p>
<p>Ron did not. He said he had worked in media, and been a volunteer on a carbon project, building stuff out in Sri Lanka. Then he got huffy. &#8220;You&#8217;re an academic, right ? What do you know about actually doing stuff ?&#8221; and he threw the phone down.</p>
<p>Ron, Ron, Ron. Academics are the people who have been collecting your global warming and climate change data. They are the people who really know what&#8217;s happening, not some pseudo-experts with undeclared financing.</p>
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		<title>Slaying the Climate Ghouls</title>
		<link>http://www.joabbess.com/2011/10/31/slaying-the-climate-ghouls/</link>
		<comments>http://www.joabbess.com/2011/10/31/slaying-the-climate-ghouls/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 31 Oct 2011 21:51:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jo</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bad Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bait & Switch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climate Change]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Global Warming]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.joabbess.com/?p=11963</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[They may have been BESTed, but the climate change denier spooks and ghouls are still fluttering about like deranged rabid bats. Here is a draft of a letter I am considering sending to somebody in an organisation under which I serve&#8230; 31st October 2011 Dear XXXXXXXXXXX, It seems to me that you are labouring under [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><TABLE><TR><TD><iframe width="400" height="300" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/gh9kDCuPuU8" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></TD><TD>They may have been <A HREF="http://thinkprogress.org/romm/2011/10/30/356783/koch-fueled-study-finds-recent-warming-on-the-high-judith-curry/">BESTed</A>, but the climate change denier spooks and ghouls are still fluttering about like deranged rabid bats. Here is a draft of a letter I am considering sending to somebody in an organisation under which I serve&#8230;<br />
</TD></TR><TR><TD COLSPAN="2"></p>
<p>31st October 2011</p>
<p>Dear XXXXXXXXXXX,</p>
<p>It seems to me that you are labouring under several false impressions of the consensus in science regarding global warming and climate change. For example, you do not appear to accept that global warming is taking place, a fact that is evidenced by over a century of data. And as another example, you do not appear to accept that global warming is causing climate change, a scientific reality evidenced by countless studies. However, I’m not going to guide you to the peer-reviewed science for those points. All I want to do in this particular communication is offer you a popular critique of one of your key arguments, and challenge you to check your sources. </p>
<p><span id="more-11963"></span><A HREF="http://youtu.be/gh9kDCuPuU8"><IMG SRC="http://www.changecollege.org.uk/img/Latest_Scare_Story.png" WIDTH="400" /></A></p>
<p>It is a well-known but fallacious line of reasoning from climate change deniers that “In the 1970s, the scientists said there would be global cooling”. The error in understanding comes about because back in the 1970s there were two effects in play – global warming caused by atmospheric accumulation of greenhouse gases; and global dimming caused by excessive build-up of what are known as “aerosols”, tiny particles of soot and chemicals from industrial pollution, which was preventing the full warming effect of the sun.</p>
<p>Here are three slides from a recent Internet video sensation of a lecture given by Dr Richard Milne at the University of Edinburgh, which I think neatly sums up the change between the 1970s and the 1980s, when various developed countries started to clean up industrial emissions :-</p>
<p><A HREF="http://youtu.be/gh9kDCuPuU8"><IMG SRC="http://www.changecollege.org.uk/img/Nineteen_Seventies_Global_Cooling.png" WIDTH="400" /></A></p>
<p><A HREF="http://youtu.be/gh9kDCuPuU8"><IMG SRC="http://www.changecollege.org.uk/img/Nineteen_Seventies_Radiative_Forcings.png" WIDTH="400" /></A></p>
<p><A HREF="http://youtu.be/gh9kDCuPuU8"><IMG SRC="http://www.changecollege.org.uk/img/Nineteen_Eighties_Radiative_Forcings.png" WIDTH="400" /></A></p>
<p>What was predicted in the 1970s was the so-called “nuclear winter”. If industrial emissions of soot and sulphur dioxide had continued on such a large scale, then global warming would have been overtaken by global dimming, and yes, there would have been an overall cooling. But that situation changed, and now carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases are the dominant “radiative forcing” to use a technical term, and the underlying global warming effect is more clearly seen.</p>
<p>You will find it hard to find scientific evidence to refute this logic, but if after researching you still disagree with the position I have outlined, please do not hesitate to make alternative statements with citations that I can research.</p>
<p>With respect,</p>
<p></TD></TR></TABLE></p>
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		<title>The Problem of Powerlessness #2</title>
		<link>http://www.joabbess.com/2011/10/22/the-problem-of-powerlessness-2/</link>
		<comments>http://www.joabbess.com/2011/10/22/the-problem-of-powerlessness-2/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Oct 2011 23:26:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jo</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.joabbess.com/?p=11769</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[On Wednesday, I received a telephone call from an Information Technology recruitment consultancy. They wanted to know if I would be prepared to provide computer systems programming services for NATO. Detecting that I was speaking with a native French-speaker, I slipped into my rather unpracticed second language to explain that I could not countenance working [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><TABLE><TR><TD><iframe width="400" height="300" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/HCcJH89XhfA" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></TD><TD>On Wednesday, I received a telephone call from an Information Technology recruitment consultancy. They wanted to know if I would be prepared to provide computer systems programming services for NATO. </p>
<p>Detecting that I was speaking with a native French-speaker, I slipped into my rather unpracticed second language to explain that I could not countenance working with the militaries, because I disagree with their strategy of repeated aggression. </TD></TR><TR><TD COLSPAN="2">I explained I was critical of the possibility that the air strikes in Libya were being conducted in order to establish an occupation of North Africa by Western forces, to protect oil and gas interests in the region. The recruitment agent agreed with me that the Americans were the driving force behind NATO, and that they were being too warlike. </p>
<p>Whoops, there goes another great opportunity to make a huge pile of cash, contracting for warmongers ! Sometimes you just have to kiss a career goodbye. IT consultancy has many ethical pitfalls. Time to reinvent myself.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve been &#8220;back to school&#8221; for the second university degree, and now I&#8217;m supposed to submit myself to the &#8220;third degree&#8221; &#8211; go out and get me a job. The paucity of available positions due to the poor economic climate notwithstanding, the possibility of ending up in an unsuitable role fills me with dread. One of these days I might try to write about my experiences of having to endure several kinds of abuse whilst engaged in paid employment : suffice it to say, workplace inhumanity can be unbearable, some people don&#8217;t know what ethical behaviour means, and Human Resources departments always take sides, especially with vindictive, manipulative, micro-managers. I know what it&#8217;s like to be powerless.</p>
<p><span id="more-11769"></span>I&#8217;m an open, honest, well-meaning person, and I&#8217;m quite sociable, unless I&#8217;m trying to focus on something complicated, when I need to be left alone. I like informality and equality, enjoy being able to offer pragmatic solutions, good advice and insight; am capable of managing difficult situations and negotiating progress in a spirit of co-operation. I can work under some stress, as long as it isn&#8217;t every day, or in a hostile environment; and I can do good research and detailed work, for example in computer systems programming. I can work with a wide variety of people, as long as they&#8217;re minded to be constructive. I like to train people to do the best they can, and do better than before, and I like to build teams that are mutually supportive. Simple is good. Direct is best. I try to create efficiency, I can facilitate business process, manage change and I&#8217;m always trying to work myself out of a job. </p>
<p>Unfortunately, there are some people out there who do not understand me, who somehow see me as a threat, and who actively campaign against my aims and methods, sometimes by attempting to isolate me. It slowly dawns on me &#8211; a look here, a word there, a conversation I&#8217;m not party to. I get the sensation of alienation. I can look in a person&#8217;s face and see the antipathy. I don&#8217;t know why, but I know what. People can be cruel and ruthless. You cannot expect easy co-operation, especially in a hierarchy, where my competencies always seem to challenge the power base. I really don&#8217;t want to put myself through that again. I shouldn&#8217;t have to undergo torture in order to earn a living. Rejection, I can handle &#8211; what I fear is dejection.</p>
<p>&#8220;What you need to do&#8221;, says my relative, &#8220;is take a job for another ten years or so. A good solid career. You should take a role in the field you have studied.&#8221; I reply with, &#8220;The trouble is, I now know enough about a great number of organisations I couldn&#8217;t possibly bring myself to work for.&#8221; My assessment, of course, puts me in the category of judgmental, and makes me fairly unemployable. I&#8217;m pretty certain that even those organisations who have a similar approach to mine wouldn&#8217;t want to work with me.</p>
<p>Another relative suggests I need to do something practical, says that I can&#8217;t spend all my life thinking. There&#8217;s only so many roles for thinkers. There&#8217;s only so much space for intellectual inquiry. Yes, that&#8217;s true. We&#8217;ve had enough thinking. The economists told us to price carbon. Everybody else is resisting a price on carbon. High carbon emitters continually lobby against being penalised. It will never work. The economists told us to trade carbon. That has been spectacularly unsuccessful in a number of ways, including the failure to create verifiable, sustainable carbon credits; and the fraud and theft of carbon credits. </p>
<p>The economists told us to price pollution, to make the polluters pay. And the polluters end up passing the costs along the value chain to the end consumers. They don&#8217;t stop polluting, they just make their consumers forfeit. </p>
<p>The technologists from the oil and gas industry told us to do things like Carbon Capture and Storage, and other geoengineering. Watch how the number of carbon capture projects grows ! The pace is slower than a drugged snail&#8217;s. Why ? Entropy, man. It&#8217;s always going to be cheaper to prevent carbon emissions in the first place than re-capture the carbon from the air. And the price of re-capture can be expected to be stellar &#8211; it&#8217;s all in the chemistry. The only thing that got captured was your intelligence. You were captured by the idea and it failed you.</p>
<p>The policymakers keep blaming the consumer, and telling us all we will enjoy lowering our energy use. The citizens are fighting back, by paying no attention at all to the messaging of restraint; and campaigning against high energy prices.</p>
<p>Nope, I can&#8217;t make a career working for an environmental organisation, as life would be defined completely by negatives : antagonism is not an attitude I can keep up. Environmentalists keep making unreasonable, unfeasible demands. They demand change, but don&#8217;t offer a pathway to a positive future. It seems that, for the most part, environmentalists can achieve nothing of note. I&#8217;m inclined to think that those who control the purse strings control the changes that have to be made &#8211; the insurers, the investors, the highly capitalised companies.</p>
<p>But I don&#8217;t want to work for a multinational, transnational corporation. Their prime directive is to make a profit to satisfy the demands of their shareholders. They don&#8217;t care about carbon unless it is to take care of their bottom line. I could never work for a fossil fuel oil and gas company, even if they have an &#8220;alternative energy&#8221; section, because they are outright compromised, and are carrying huge carbon liabilities. I&#8217;m not sure if there are any ethical finance or banking outfits that I could fit into. I don&#8217;t know if there are any renewable energy technology corporations that would be prepared to hire me. </p>
<p>I am an awkward one. Don&#8217;t hire me. You&#8217;ll only want to fire me. Don&#8217;t give me any money to perform a function &#8211; there&#8217;s nothing I can achieve if people aren&#8217;t prepared to work with me. Am I playing hard to get ? Giving the wrong impression ? Once again, I have to strike out on my own. I rather get the idea I will need to create my own job. What is worthwhile doing ?</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve been studying the management of climate change, a sort of hybrid discipline between business management studies and climate change policy &#8211; taking in climate change science and developments in energy. We&#8217;ve learned about carbon management, carbon pricing in all its forms, and the rocky seas of energy policy. We&#8217;ve heard that technology and innovation can solve the problem. We&#8217;ve heard that renewable energy can save the day. We&#8217;ve been exposed to the diversity of proposals for climate change mitigation and adaptation, and the institutions, organisations and government departments that are tasked with handling climate change.</p>
<p>There are things that need to be done : the full weight of the world&#8217;s production capability and purchasing power needs to be directed towards sustainable and renewable energy, energy conservation, universal building insulation, joined up systems of low carbon transportation, low carbon agriculture, low carbon economic development&#8230; All new investment should be directed towards creating low carbon energy assets, energy efficiency and energy conservation.</p>
<p>There are ways to make things happen. You do something yourself. You ask somebody else to do it. You pay somebody to perform a function. You create obligations, and a system of accountability. If you&#8217;re the Governor of Texas and you&#8217;re desperate for rainfall to break the long, hot drought, you beseech the heavens for divine intervention. You wait for the passage of time and the unfolding of events to whisper the suggestion of change&#8230;</p>
<p>And then there&#8217;s the power of influence. It&#8217;s a constant surprise &#8211; the genuinely influential don&#8217;t realise how hard it is for others to emulate their role. There are in fact very few people who can influence for the better.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t want to have influence. I don&#8217;t want to be famous for bending minds. I don&#8217;t want to be admired for being seductively convincing. What I offer is the truth as I see it &#8211; flat and un-adorned. However, honesty is not lucrative; and pragmatism doesn&#8217;t sell. People don&#8217;t seem to like straight talking or plain speaking.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t have influence, but I don&#8217;t want influence. I don&#8217;t want to be someone that other people revere and follow. I don&#8217;t want to be a leader. I just want to put the facts and figures and methods out there for others to recognise &#8211; to witness to inevitable changes, and our changing responsibilities and accountabilities.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t have power. I don&#8217;t want power. I am without artifice. I don&#8217;t want to be a sales person or be forced to fabricate with public relations. I&#8217;m not trying to prove anything &#8211; I&#8217;m just trying to show it.</p>
<p>People say I should take employment in order to pursue my goals and aims. I don&#8217;t know if there is any form of employment, currently, that would allow me to pursue my goals and aims. I cannot think of any role that anyone would want filled that would grant me the kind of authority I would need to pursue my goals and aims. And anyway, I don&#8217;t want to offer a service of labour to a paternalistic organisation in exchange for some kind of accredited authority; permission to get done what needs to be done.</p>
<p>I cannot do anything about the appallingly bad media coverage of climate change science, the crisis in energy and policy. There are not enough hours in the day to effectively counter their poorly-constructed and often unfactual narratives. I don&#8217;t have the energy to go against all this stupidity and propaganda. The channels of mass communication lack the necessary staff with the skillsets to relate the full scale of climate change to their communities of audiences. I disagree with almost all economists and many of the industrial corporations about how to handle climate change. I cannot completely align myself with any single political party or grouping &#8211; the Members of Parliament and many civil servants struggle with science and technology. They are mostly non-scientists, non-engineers.</p>
<p>I often find myself considering a company or an organisation and thinking, &#8220;I can&#8217;t work for these people. They&#8217;ll have me doing something useless&#8221;, or &#8220;I can&#8217;t work with these people. Their pitch is all blather. Their intellectual framework is tilted, on weak foundations, and liable to fracture.&#8221; I cannot live a lie. I cannot live with a lie.</p>
<p>I have adopted a position of powerlessness, but it is problematic. My communication skills are constrained by my repudiation of power.</p>
<p>I cannot produce anything much by communicating, as I don&#8217;t want you to believe without evidence and knowledge, and I don&#8217;t need you to agree with me just because I say something. You will probably dismiss my thoughts on the basis of my position, and I can&#8217;t make the message stick; but then, in a democracy of thought, I shouldn&#8217;t force you to accept anything I say.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t want to convert you, recruit you, make you change your mind. But somebody has to say these things &#8211; give us all the opportunity to reflect and maybe come to our senses.</p>
<p>What should be said. What has to happen.</p>
<p>All I can do is keep saying what needs to be said and keep saying what has to happen, what will happen; whilst critiquing all the confusion, distortion and disinformation. That&#8217;s all I can do. I&#8217;m not very successful at communicating these things, but it&#8217;s still all I can do. All I can do is not enough. But it&#8217;s all I can do.</p>
<p><B>[ UPDATE : IT HAS BEEN SUGGESTED THAT THIS POST INDICATES JOABBESS.COM IS WORK-SHY. NOTHING COULD BE FARTHER FROM THE TRUTH. BESIDES HAVING VOLUNTARY ROLES, JOABBESS.COM IS CURRENTLY IN TWO PART-TIME PAID EMPLOYMENT ROLES, AND PAYS INCOME TAX, NATIONAL INSURANCE, HOUSEHOLD BILLS AND COUNCIL TAX FROM THE EARNINGS. A FULL CURRICULUM VITAE OR RESUME CAN BE PROVIDED ON REQUEST. ]</B></TD></TR></TABLE></p>
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		<title>BBC : Craven Power Muddle</title>
		<link>http://www.joabbess.com/2011/10/17/bbc-craven-power-muddle/</link>
		<comments>http://www.joabbess.com/2011/10/17/bbc-craven-power-muddle/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 17 Oct 2011 09:49:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jo</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Once again, the BBC has allowed to pass unchallenged the impression that green power policy and renewable energy investment are behind the dramatic rise in British domestic energy prices. Disappointingly, this has come from John Craven, whose accuracy is renowned. However, on this occasion, he has allowed a blooper meme to consolidate in the public [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><TABLE><TR><TD><object width="400" height="300"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/1e-qX5_KzVc&#038;hl=en_US&#038;feature=player_embedded&#038;version=3"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/1e-qX5_KzVc&#038;hl=en_US&#038;feature=player_embedded&#038;version=3" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowfullscreen="true" allowScriptAccess="always" width="400" height="300"></embed></object></A></TD><TD>Once again, the BBC has allowed to pass unchallenged the impression that green power policy and renewable energy investment are behind the dramatic rise in British domestic energy prices. </p>
<p>Disappointingly, this has come from John Craven, whose accuracy is renowned. </p>
<p>However, on this occasion, he has allowed a blooper meme to consolidate in the public mind.</TD></TR><TR><TD COLSPAN="2"><br />
Here&#8217;s how <A HREF="http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b006t0bv">Countryfile went yesterday evening</A> :-</p>
<p>[ Countryfile, BBC One, 16 October 2011, 18:25. Part way through recording, starting at approximately 20 minutes 32 seconds. ]</p>
<p>[ Ellie Harrison ] Earlier in the programme we were looking at the expected huge rise in wind power across the UK. But in the race to create more of our energy this way, who will win and who is set to lose out ? Here&#8217;s John again.</p>
<p>[ John Craven ] Earlier, I discovered how the plan to put wind power at the heart of our future energy supply is creating a building boom in wind farms, both on land and out at sea. With billions being poured into wind power, and with it being at the centre of the Government&#8217;s strategy on renewables, the future seems certain. So who will the losers and winners be in this wind revolution ? The most obvious winner is the environment as less fossil fuels are burnt. But who else benefits ? Well, another clear winner is big business. Companies building the wind farms get a generous price for the electricity they produce. [...]</p>
<p><span id="more-11671"></span>[ John Craven ] Electricity is bought from producers at an average price of 5 pence per kilowatt hour. But wind farms get bonuses. For offshore wind that&#8217;s around 9 pence extra per kilowatt hour, guaranteed for 20 years. And when you&#8217;re talking about nearly 3 million of these units every day, that figure soon adds up. [...]</p>
<p>[ John Craven ] Even if a lot of the big business profit goes abroad, at least some much-needed jobs will be created here in the UK. But while a handful people might benefit from new employment, critics say it&#8217;s the majority of us, already feeling the pinch, who&#8217;ll pay a high price for embracing wind. So what&#8217;s your prediction then about how much fuel bills are going to rise for everyone because of green power ?</p>
<p>[ Tony Lodge ] Well, fuel bills up until 2030 could well double. The Government acknowledges there will be an increase. It claims there will then be a decrease, but for every 1% increase in fuel bills, 44,000 households slide into fuel poverty, which is a social crisis.</p>
<p>[ John Craven ] Supporters of wind farms say that although we do pay a green premium in our electricity bills, those figures are vastly exaggerated. Just how much we&#8217;ll really end up paying seems uncertain. [...]</p>
<p>[ End ]</p>
<p>The reason why this is so disheartening is that it avoids mentioning the wide variety of forces affecting power prices, and instead, appears to lay all the blame at the door of the UK&#8217;s sustainable energy policy.</p>
<p>Why are household energy bills so high ?</p>
<p>Well, for one thing, the price of Natural Gas has not been stable &#8211; and much of our electricity is generated by burning Natural Gas for heat to turn turbines :-</p>
<p><A HREF="http://www.catalyst-commercial.co.uk/energy_market_intelligence/uk_gas_prices/"><IMG SRC="http://www.catalyst-commercial.co.uk/Image/gas2.gif" WIDTH="400" /></A></p>
<p>And then, the Great British oil and gas industry is in decline as the North Sea reserves suffer irreversible depletion of their fields, and the country as a whole has become a net Natural Gas importer, which will obviously have something to do with prices for both heating and electricity at home :-</p>
<p><A HREF="http://www.gatewaystorage.co.uk/index.php?option=com_content&#038;view=article&#038;id=80&#038;Itemid=62"><IMG SRC="http://www.gatewaystorage.co.uk/forecast.jpg" WIDTH="650" /></A></p>
<p><A HREF="http://www.theoildrum.com/story/2006/4/7/192346/7389"><IMG SRC="http://uk.theoildrum.com/uploads/465/cv_uk_gas_import.gif" WIDTH="400" /></A></p>
<p>The Government appears to <A HREF="http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2011/oct/17/cameron-huhne-cut-energy-bills">blame the consumers</A> for <A HREF="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/8830890/Minister-Chris-Huhne-claims-energy-prices-relatively-good.html">not shopping around in a &#8220;competitive&#8221; marketplace</A>, but evidence of &#8220;cartel&#8221; activity from the energy suppliers in hiking up the prices means that people cannot win this game :-</p>
<p><A HREF="http://www.guardian.co.uk/money/2010/nov/20/energy-bills-soar-wholesale-prices"><IMG SRC="http://static.guim.co.uk/sys-images/Money/Pix/pictures/2010/11/19/1290171872873/Gas-prices-retail-v-whole-001.jpg" WIDTH="400" /></A></p>
<p><A HREF="http://www.desmondelliott.co.uk/2011/07/09/power-grid/"><IMG SRC="http://www.desmondelliott.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/Screenshot.png" WIDTH="400" /></A></p>
<p>Here&#8217;s a recent Parliamentary briefing :-</p>
<p><A HREF="http://www.parliament.uk/briefing-papers/SN03995">http://www.parliament.uk/briefing-papers/SN03995</A></p>
<p>Anybody commenting on energy prices on British television and radio should pay attention to the diverse sources of pressure on household bills. To blame green policies for energy price rises is essentially a deceit, and stokes the fire under the &#8220;small state&#8221; arguments for removing Government incentives for green energy investment.</p>
<p>In terms of public debate, only the Carbon Brief appear to be on the platform contradicting this irrational line of reasoning. They want the Daily Mail to review their stance, and they&#8217;ve got evidence from the energy regulator, Ofgem, to back them up :-</p>
<p><A HREF="http://www.carbonbrief.org/blog/2011/10/green-policies-not-to-blame-for-rising-energy-bills,-says-ofgem">http://www.carbonbrief.org/blog/2011/10/green-policies-not-to-blame-for-rising-energy-bills,-says-ofgem</A></p>
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